Spence is handicap now the eye injury is very serious most the fighters will be punching the repaired eye.
I would have picked Spence confidently before, but with the crash & now eye injury, I'm not too sure. 50/50 fight (if Spence isn't too damaged).
Manny really hurt Ugas at one point and Ugas desperately clinched in the later rounds of the fight. Errol Spence is a really strong boxer physically and i think Ugas wouldn't be able to out-strength him like he did against an old Manny. Spence will have an easier time with Ugas than he would with a Porter rematch even though he's likely have figured out Porter completely by now. Ugas does not press the pace and likes to coast when he thinks he's landed an adequate amount of punches and is simply a boring counter puncher even by cuban standards. Spence would apply enough pressure and the judges would likely favor him because he'd land more than Manny in the process and also be the aggressor.
rock, paper, scissors way is not a good way to match fighters, Frazier beat Ali, Foreman annilhates Fraizer, Ali beats Foreman.