Excellent pre fight analysis and prediction from Michael Jennings...

Notice use of the word "previously". Obviously used because Jennings has since fought Kell Brook.

 

Agree with Jennings. It's a pretty straight forward fight to call from what I can see.

 

Agreed.






Cotto SD.

 

:yep

 

I wonder if Cotto will back off and ask Floyd to lead, I dunno just wondering what sorta plan Diaz will ask Migs to employ.

One things for sure Miguel is most accurate puncher Floyd will have faced in quite some time. He's very accurate and efficient so be interesting to see how he deals with the Shoulder roll..

 

:yep :deal

 

I think Cotto stands less chance if he tries to make Floyd lead, he's not best there although he did make Journeyman Margarito look slow and ponderous when he did it, but Marg' doesn't exactly have that many facets to his game.

 

Yeah true, just wondering what he will look to do. I really hope he recaptures his body punching on saturday because that would be effective.

 

I'm not sure I've read a post from you about how you think Cotto should attack this fight? :think

Bodypunching is a good point, Cotto used to be an absolute beast for it. I'd say Cotto should work his way inside and try and take steps to the side to get his body punches off and use those angles. But Floyd isn't going to let him just work inside, so he's going to need to be clever.

It's really a difficult one! :nut

 

For me, the main reason why Cotto will lose is his right hand or lack thereof, Miguel is left handed & all the power is in his lead hand.

Orthodox vs Orthodox, against the Philly shell/shoulder roll the right hand is the key punch & the fundamental weakness in its set-up. All the biggest shots Ive seen Floyd take were right hands; Mosely rocked him, Oscar landed a beauty & Castillo had success with his right.

The hook/uppercut to the body behind or around the left elbow & the hook/overhand to the head over the left shoulder are the most effective punches, along with the jab straight down the middle.

Cotto is a lovely boxer to watch & a great fighter but he doesnt have the right tools in his arsenal for the job. He doesnt have the reach or the speed to win this fight. He'll do ok with his jab for a while but Floyd will adjust & take that away from him, after that it will be a clinic imo.

 

I don't think i have actually, Big fight but dunno it's a few years to late for me but still gonna be watchable.

Good points made, I think Miguel's left hook is a great weapon in this fight. as DrMo said lack of a great right hand is problem.

 

I just cant see his left hook being that effective, he doesnt have the foot speed to change the angle in close or the hand speed to counter with it against/over Floyds right hand. Cotto will need to time it perfectly & I dont think he'll be able to do it often enough to have a major impact.

Perhaps, at the end of a combination he might catch Floyd if he makes a mistake or is a bit sloppy but Floyd must know thats the main weapon he needs to neutralise, along with the jab.

 

I think the left hooks power will occupy Floyd a little and give him a chance to land the right behind it. I've seen Floyd hit with a right following a feint lead left hook.

I think the good thing for Cotto is his jab is his strongest hand so he can make use of it. I think also his ability to punch at different lengths and bodypunching give him decent options.

Gonna be a entertaining fight IMO. Not really thought to much about it as i said to Bryn but Cotto does have some nice tools for the fight. Sadly 4 years to late IMO.