Final Adamek vs. Arreola Prediction

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by bkamins, Apr 24, 2010.


  1. bkamins

    bkamins Boxing Addict Full Member

    5,465
    2
    Sep 29, 2008
    I must admit I'm surprised to hear that Adamek is a slight betting favorite. From everything I've read, most boxing insiders think this fight was a big mistake for Adamek. I must agree. Here's how I see it going.

    Adamek wins the first few round with his superior speed and boxing ability. He tags Arreola with a few hard shots but is unable to do much damage. Sometime between the 2-4 rounds Adamek gets hit...hard. At that point Adamek will know he's in with a real heavyweight that can punch. It is at this point that the Polish star will get a bit reckless. After that it's only a matter of time. If I had to pick a round I'd say the 8th. Arreola by 8th round TKO.

    But what do you think?
     
  2. drowller

    drowller Well-Known Member Full Member

    1,528
    1
    May 17, 2009
    The longer fight lasts the slimmer chances Arreola has. Adamek is the type who likes increasing tempo in later rounds (except Estrada fight, Adamek got too fat in that fight;])
     
  3. lzolnier

    lzolnier Boxing Junkie Full Member

    11,524
    34
    Jan 20, 2007

    I think Adamek's skills, heart, ring IQ and versatility will win this easily on the cards. The scenario you draw up is possible. I'd say at least 30% given Arreola's punch speed and relative accuracy and determination. But a KO is Arreola's only way to win, whereas Adamek has many more ways to win. Keep in mind, Adamek has demonstrated one punch KO power as well, so its not impossible that he can't KO Arreola. As far as boxing insiders, most of the voices I've heard so far are coming from HBO lackeys who are known Arreola supporters partly because they have created and have a stake in Arreola's hype. Ask Dan Raphael what he thinks.
     
  4. lzolnier

    lzolnier Boxing Junkie Full Member

    11,524
    34
    Jan 20, 2007

    This is true. Adamek is a slow starter. Arreola needs to get him in the early rounds, that will be his biggest chance.
     
  5. madballster

    madballster Loyal Member Full Member

    37,210
    6,765
    Jul 21, 2009
    Arreola by TKO within first 6 rounds. I hope he can pull it off. This means no disrespect to Adamek. He's a fine, tough fighter who deserves a win just as much but I'll have to go with the HW power of Arreola in this one.
     
  6. bkamins

    bkamins Boxing Addict Full Member

    5,465
    2
    Sep 29, 2008

    I'd say Adamek also only has one way to win and that is by boxing and fighting a discipled fight, something that is hard to do for a guy that's not a boxer. Really, Adamek is more of a boxer/puncher...and when he gets tagged he tends to go to war. Also, nearly every Arreola fight ends in a knockout, so it's not the far-fetched. I just think Arreola is too big and too strong for Adamek. Also, the polish star is not exactly Willie Pep. Honestly, he's pretty easy to hit. I don't see him making it out of this scrap on his feet.
     
  7. Mendoza

    Mendoza Hrgovic = Next Heavyweight champion of the world. banned Full Member

    55,255
    10,354
    Jun 29, 2007
    I think its a very competitive match up, and one fans should enjoy.

    Adamek has proved he belongs. He is skilled, and rather technical. Arreola has the edge on power, and chin. I'll go with Arreola to win in the mid to late rounds in fast paced fight.

    Smaller boxers tend to have trouble with stronger and aggressive swarmers.
     
  8. anarci

    anarci Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

    24,237
    64
    Jul 21, 2009
    Adamek will take an early lead, eventually he stands his ground too much and Arreola starts getting to him around the 5th 6th. They go toe to toe in the 7th after Arreola drops him he finishes him off shortly after for the finish

    Arreola Tko 7
     
  9. Boxed Ears

    Boxed Ears this my daddy's account (RIP daddy) Full Member

    55,986
    10,399
    Jul 28, 2009
    This fight is too big of a question mark for me to bet on.
     
  10. bkamins

    bkamins Boxing Addict Full Member

    5,465
    2
    Sep 29, 2008
    That's a valid point. The article I read quote Larry Merchant. And while I like him as a commentator, his loyalty to his network is obvious. Still, happen to agree with him. Arreola is too big and too strong for Adamek, who is also very hittable.
     
  11. anarci

    anarci Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

    24,237
    64
    Jul 21, 2009
    Quit bein a chicken, who do you got? Are you 50/50?
     
  12. Uconn1986

    Uconn1986 Member Full Member

    349
    11
    Sep 26, 2009
    Arreola is no Estrada...he wont be tagging Adamek like Estrada did. His advantage in speed will be apparent from the opening round and he will cruise to a UD. Never can count a puncher out though...
     
  13. bkamins

    bkamins Boxing Addict Full Member

    5,465
    2
    Sep 29, 2008

    He doesn't need to tag Adamek like Estrada did....all he needs is one well-placed punch.
     
  14. warrior85

    warrior85 R.I.P THUNDER Full Member

    11,865
    3
    May 30, 2007
    ive changed my mind quite a few times regarding this fight but ill go with adamek to win by late tko IF he gets though the first 4 rounds unscathed.
     
  15. elguapo

    elguapo Well-Known Member Full Member

    1,525
    0
    Apr 25, 2009