~~~ Final and Official ESB MAYWEATHER v. HATTON ~ ANALYSIS and PREDICTION Thread ~~~

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

Ziggy Montana said:

I see Hatton coming in with a Plan A and a Plan B, "B" being a damage control approach his corner might ask him to switch to should plan A fail (= outright aggression).

Conversely, Mayweather's versatility should allow him to adjust quickly to whatever Hatton's approach will be.

Mayweather by UD seems logical but I don't exclude him winning by TKO.
Click to expand...

Good analysis...

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

Dorfmeister said:

This content is protected

Click to expand...

Good analysis...

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

huki said:

Mine would look like this:

Mayweather TKO: 65%
Mayweather UD: 25%
Hatton TKO: 6%
Hatton UD: 4%

I would truly be shocked if Hatton even made this competitive. He's just too easy to hit and Floyd is better than him in every single way, including power, chin, stamina, and in-fighting (Hatton's supposed strengths). I expect Floyd to really start to sit on his punches in the second half of the fight and go for the stoppage. If Floyd makes this fight even somewhat close because of his low punch output I will lose a lot respect for him as a boxer. He picked this fight against a junior welter who he has huge stylistic advantages over to look impressive, so he better look damn impressive. It shouldn't be hard for him as long as he throws a lot of punches. Collazo countered Hatton easily and was on his way to stopping him, so Floyd should be able to do it even before the championship rounds if he pushes.
Click to expand...

Very good analysis!:happy

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

Decebal said:

I think, generally, Ricky will aim to be very busy, throw many punches and keep the rhythm very high throughout the fight. He will aim to stop Floyd with some bodyshots after the first 4-5 rounds, but will bank on the decision, all-in-all.

Ricky will base his gameplan on his footwork and on the volume and accuracy of punches. He will use his side to side crab-like motion-jumps to cut off the ring, apply pressure, defend and set up the angles at the same time...

He will not use a jab as much as he will try to manhandle Floyd, positioning him for a body-shot. He will hit to the body, hard and precise, side-jump and repeat, hoping to set up his left hook and right cross...

Ricky will come out strong and fast, aiming to make a statement from the first bell - he is here to win - and aiming to take all the confidence away from Floyd.

Floyd will generally not "run" as much as people think he might. Instead he will aim to outbox Ricky out for the first couple of rounds, trying to show him who's boss and sapping his confidence. Later on, he will aim to defend more and tire him out by having him miss whilst pot-shotting him, his back against the ropes. He will aim to stop Ricky on a cut but will also bank on the decision.

Ricky might take the first two, as planned. Afterwards, I think Floyd will start making Ricky miss more whilst pot-shotting him, trying to cause as much damage, even if it doesn't score so much. Against the ropes, I expect Floyd to hit to the body and use his uppercut and hooks a lot.

So, first 2 rounds or so to Ricky on aggressiveness and effort, then, next 5 rounds or so shared between them, with Floyd taking the lion share and starting to impose his own style on Ricky.

From round 7 on, I expect Floyd will start using Ricky's come-forward even more against him, making him miss and punishing him...I expect the next three rounds to be used to open up a cut and wouldn't be surprised if by the end of the 9th, the ref will have had no other option but to stop it.

If Ricky holds up well though through the middle rounds, I expect Floyd to fight inside more, in the middle of the ring, to impress the judges and take away from Ricky's confidece, working his body and using his uppercut and hooks.

If Ricky doesn't look like being stopped, I expect Floyd to use the last quarter of the fight to outscore his opponent and go for the decision.

I think that the more effective Ricky is, however, the better Floyd will fight and the more he will commit himself. Thus, since I expect Ricky to show much heart, energy and resilience, I expect Floyd to give it his very best, even standing toe-to-toe with him, if this is what it takes. However, I think that the more aggressive Ricky is, the more he will be punished for his lack of jab and defense and the higher the chance of a stoppage on a cut. Floyd's height ans size advantage and of course, skill and talent advantage will make the difference, I think. I don't think Ricky will be strong, fast and energetic enough to make up for his disadvantages.

I predict Mayweather TKO 9 but can also see Mayweather UD 9 to 3, with 3-4 rounds going to Ricky for aggressiveness, energy and number of punches thrown...but if it goes to the judges, I expect the scorecard to look very close, maybe as close as Mayweather 7 to 5...
Click to expand...

Very good analysis, if I may say so...!

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

Decebal said:

IceJohnScully:

I know a lot of people have been bringing up all the ways that Hatton can and will win this fight. Many have talked about his relentless pressure, his awesome body punching and his will to win to go along with his dogged determination as factors in why they will pick him to defeat Mayweather. And while I believe that Hatton is a warrior and a very determined individual who always comes to fight and is probably much more skilled than most give him credit for I also believe that Floyd is one of those guys, like a Ray Leonard, who has all the tools and gifts at his disposal. I have actually trained in the gym out in Las Vegas when he was also training and while I am sure Hatton works hard in the gym I would find it hard to believe that he trains any harder than Mayweather. I also think that Floyd, like Ali and Leonard before him, is a guy who has the image of a boxer and a personality first but like those two guys did countless times, i think when the going gets tough Floyd will respond like a champion. If Hatton thinks he is just going to bully Floyd with no resistance coming back at him then I think he will be terribly mistaken. I also think that the majority of people that count all the ways that Hatton will win this fight also happen to be people who do not personally like Floyd and their opinions are more wishful thinking than anything. As much as I think Floyd is very, very immature in his bragging about how much money he has, as much as I think his friend Leonard Ellerbee talks way too much trash for a guy who never fought before and doesn't fight, and as much as I think Floyd probably will not be remembered -for a variety of reasons- as a true and revered legend of the game so many years after his final fight like Leonard and Ali are now, I do think he is far and away the elite of today and everything in this equation points to his winning December 8 in very convincing performance.

Putting it another way, the night before James Toney and Roy Jones fought out in Las Vegas back in 1994 Roy's lawyer asked me for my honest opinion and I told him this: "James Toney is a very good, maybe even a great, fighter but all the things that make him great will never come into play -stylistically- against a Roy Jones."

Substitute the names Mayweather and Hatton and you have my same prognosis for December 8.
Click to expand...

Good analysis!

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

Decebal said:

Mayweather WILL use the whole of the 22-foot ring, obviously, which means he will box all night. However, I think he will not be weary of staying in he centre of the ring and moving around the centre, in all directions, fighting quite a bit inside: Mayweather will use his extra inch in height and 7 inch reach advantage to good effect on the inside...He will lean forward a bit, protecting his body and using hooks and uppercuts to hit Ricky. I think he might fight inside more than people assume he might...first couple of rounds I think he will keep it outside, tiring Ricky and making him miss...once Ricky is a bit more tired, he will start turning around the centre more...this would allow him to go for the TKO...if he gets tired, he will go against the ropes if he has to...

...Ricky will go for speed - especially if he comes in, as I predict, under 150...his punch-speed is underrated and so is his precision; his footwork and footspeed are also underrated I think...I think Ricky is banking more on the decision than on the stoppage, to win. Of course, he will try to stop him but he is not banking on it...

Another thought...Mayweather will not aim to fight with the precise amateur style that he is famous for as much as people might expect...I think he will give up some precision for a higher punch output and more brawling style action, to impress the judges who are going to buy into Ricky's high output and not to be classed as a "runner" by the judges who might contrast his style with Ricky's "good, true, honest lad" style...I think he will do this in the early middle rounds to late middle rounds, before boxing again towards the end...

I'll stick with Mayweather TKO from 9 onwards.
Click to expand...

Better than my first effort because I emphasise Floyd's inside fighting/toe-to-toe action even more.

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

robpalmer135 said:

Mayweather to embarass Hatton for the first 9 rounds, but Maywaether to get a big scare in the last 3 with Hatton going for a knock out, perhaps being rocked and legs almost going and the bell saving him from a knock down. Hatton to go down at least once, perhaps taking a knee in the first 9.

The only thing that makes me think Hatton could have a shot is if Floyd is to proud to take a knee if he is in trouble and gettng into trouble early on in a round. This is very unlikley though.

Mayweather is to fast, to skillfull, to hard to hit, to good in the inside, rock solid chin and body. Just when Hatton thinks he knows the answers, Floyd wll change the questons.

117 - 110
Click to expand...

Good analysis...

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

Amsterdam, huki, Dunky...spot on!:happy

andyZOR · Dec 9, 2007

Nice.

Decebal · Dec 9, 2007

You know what we should do? We should ask kg0208, brooklyn1550 and sean to select the analysis that ended up being the best...and we should give the analyst a prize!:hey

Decebal · Dec 10, 2007

This content is protected

This content is protected

This content is protected

This content is protected

This content is protected

~ to be worn by the winner as an avatar for 1 month and as a signature for ever ~

Thank you to kg0208 for picking the winning entry!

Log in or Sign up

~~~ Final and Official ESB MAYWEATHER v. HATTON ~ ANALYSIS and PREDICTION Thread ~~~

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

andyZOR Obsessed with Boxing banned

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Log in or Sign up

Forums

~~~ Final and Official ESB MAYWEATHER v. HATTON ~ ANALYSIS and PREDICTION Thread ~~~

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

andyZOR Obsessed with Boxing banned

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member