~~~ Final and Official ESB MAYWEATHER v. HATTON ~ ANALYSIS and PREDICTION Thread ~~~

PBF by decision but im rooting for Hatton.

 

Mayweather by UD, possible late TKO

 

Hatton fights best off the clinch.

He walks around the ring with his chin out and his hands down around his waist, for some unknown reason. Then wings his punches from his hips. I think it works against slower opponents, because he does move in with great speed and from all angles.

Floyd will see those coming from a mile away. He will either black with his elbows or duck under them. And then counter his ass like he was hitting the mitts with Roger.

Hatton's only chance is hitting Floyd right off the clinch, where he can attack and hope to land on anything, no matter it is. Floyd usually doesnt throw right off clinches, so Ricky needs to get off and get back out right away before getting cut up by counters, and then go right back in for another clinch. Dont try **** from outside, ever. Get inside, hug Floyd like he was your granny, and just get off from there. Hope to outlast him in the end.

Hatton needs to make this fight as ugly as it can possibly be. Risk the warnings even. Borederline low blows, rabbit punches... Doesnt matter. Thats the only way he wins the fight.

Oh and I am picking Hatton by the way guys.

 

You cannot analyse something that hasn't happened.

Shall we just wait for the fight to be over, then analyse it?

I only wish to mention one thing that most others have failed to mention: Ricky will be running on pure adrenaline. It doesn't matter what skills Mayweather has, he'll be fighting a man that wants to win more than he does, and in terms of burning desire to win, Floyd doesn't even come close to Hatton. See what I'm saying? You can analyse all you want. Talk about his movement, speed, power, counter-punching, blah blah blah. There are certain things you are not factoring in, and Ricky's will power is one of them.

 

With all due respect to you sir, there is no point in me checking out previous posts (I have done, and I gave up) because people are so bloody one-dimensional in their replies.... "blah blah, PBF by UD"... I don't actually mind this at all -- if Ricky wins, you pretty much shat on your own doorstep by doubting him. I will be happy to let the fight pan out and then analyse it. No one can test drive a car when it's in concept stages.

 

Thank you for proving my point.

 

My Analysis:

Floyd will start slow and cautious, as always, and seek to avoid any serious exchanges. Hatton will come out aggressively, but will do little damage in centre ring because of Mayweather's movement. However, as Mayweather keeps backing up, his back eventually hits the ropes and he closes up and tries parrying Hatton's furious assaults. He avoids a lot, but even though he's missing Hatton is the one throwing the serious punches and this catches the judges eye. I expect Hatton to come out strong and win the first 4 rounds on workrate and aggression as Floyd weighs him up and figures him out. The better and more skilled stuff will come from Floyd, but dont expect Floyd to start throwing serious stuff until the later rounds.

Then the fight gets interesting. Once Floyd gets confident and works out his timing, watch for him to hit Hatton with crisp left-handed jabs straight on Hattons nose. Hatton is fast and wild which will make him harder to hit, but he lunges in with wide punches and is ripe for a quick, short counters. If Floyd hits hard enough to earn Hatton's respect he will be able to stop Hatton from charging in, taming him. Floyd will be able to box and move and keep Hatton at bay. Hatton has occasional moments of success, but the momentum now swings Floyd's way. His counter-shots and combinations bounce of Hatton's chin as he takes control of the fight.

Its even going into the 8th. The question here is, "does Floyd have the energy, will and stamina to keep the lid on Ricky Hatton in the championship rounds?" I see him being on top in the 9th round, but still being put under serious pressure by Hatton. This is where the fight is won or lost. Floyd rarely fights at a fast pace, and rarely faces men who are as relentless and indomitable as Ricky Hatton. Can he he continue to stay on top of Ricky Hatton for the next 4 rounds, or does he slip up?

We havent seen Mayweather in such a dangerous position since he fought Jose Luis Castillo, a fight which proves that Mayweather is beatable by a pressure-fighter. Ricky Hatton will make Floyd run around the ring and never get a moment's rest. This will take its toll on Floyd Mayweather. Floyd likes to fight his way and at his pace, but tomorrow he is facing someone with a terrifying will to win that overwhelms techically superior boxers. Thats why he got the decision against Luis Collazo, thats how he made Kostya Tsyzu give up his title on his stool in agony and it's how he will beat Floyd Mayweather. They're all better boxers than Hatton, but they cant beat him because he has a talent to make them fight his fight, to impose his will on the opponent. He dragged Kostya Tszyu and Luis Collazo into the trenches, into painful wars where having a heart and a good jaw matter more than flashy skills. He uses this to nullify the advantage a superior boxer has, and I see him doing it perfectly in this fight.

Floyd will start to tire from Hatton's pressure around the 10th, and stop trying to match Hatton punch for punch. He will try and cruise the last 3 rounds, believing that winning the middle-rounds will get be enough to win him the fight. He ends up against the ropes and tries to get comfortable, but by going defensive he lets the beast out of its cage. Hatton does not get discouraged and in the final rounds he is getting hit less and still throwing a large quantity of hard punches. Like in the early in the fight, it wins him the rounds on the judges scorecards, and because its later in the fight I expect Floyd to be hurting from the previous 9 rounds of having Hatton banging away at his ribs too. He gets sloppy, starts getting hurt and the fight drifts further away from him. At the same time, Hatton starts coming on strong, forcing Floyd to stand and fight, clearly winning rounds and hurting Floyd visibly. Mayweather is out on his feet in the final round.

Close fight, but Hatton wins. I wouldn't be surprised if Floyd won but I think my money is on Hatton for this fight.

Ricky Hatton UD 116-112. Possibly a late round TKO or retirement like Kostya Tszyu.

 

Floyd out to put on a show - beats Hatton easily, stops him inside 5/6 rounds.

Now I'll qualify this by saying I've never seen Floyd fight myself, but if wha I've read is right then Hatton won't get close and the variety of punches will confuse him and he'll get stopped.

 

I went with Floyd TKO, although I think it's a toss up of whether he wins by stoppage or a wide UD.

If he stops him, it will be around the 8th, or 9th. If he wins UD, it'll be around 118 - 110, or 119 - 109.