Floyd Keeps Saying There's no "Blueprint" to beat him...

Discussion in 'Classic Boxing Forum' started by Stonehands89, Apr 15, 2010.


  1. Gesta

    Gesta Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Good post Stonehands.
     
  2. lefthook31

    lefthook31 Obsessed with Boxing banned

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    Yeah but noone has been able to do it. You guys are comparing a Mayweather that was fighting above his realistic weight. He was small against most of his opposition where his opponents managed to get some rounds by roughing him up a bit. I dont think DLH did **** with his jab, just used his speed and strength to score some points on the inside. Now Mayweather is a full fledged welterweight, hes not going to have those kind of problems anymore.
    I saw more openings in Mayweather in the Judah and Corley fights than any of his other ones because they made him lead and used their speed to counter him. You gotta outsmart a guy like Mayweather and take him out of his comfort zone. I dont think anyone at 147 can make him fight except possibly Pac and I dont even think he can, because hes too short and his boxing skills arent good enough. Pac will force the fight, but he could wind up getting knocked out earlier than Ricky Hatton.
     
  3. Bummy Davis

    Bummy Davis Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Floyd is an excellent defensive fighter and counter puncher but I have seen him pressured by guys like Castillo. Mosley has the tools and better speed than Castillo and Mosley has chin. I am just wondering the age factor and the long lay-off if Shane can pull it all together. This would make for a heck of a trilogy if Shane can get him. I would like to see how PPF can come back from a loss, or an ego-breaker. I think either way PAC looms for the natural
     
  4. McGrain

    McGrain Diamond Dog Staff Member

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    Stonehands:

    I do disagree slightly with the detail in relation to the jab. I don't think it's a fight winner, but I do think that it's the definitive points-gatherer AND it forms that first line of defense, whilst Mayweather is in what i'm happy to agree with you in calling his "test-tube" phase. More than any other fighter, Mayweather's close fight with Oscar can be split into two phases, and I think you hit the nail on the head when you describe him feeling out, then taking control of his opponent. However, winning that first phase is crucially important if you want to win the fight. Let's have a quick look at round 2(starting at two-fifty in this video):

    [ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D7N4LVGxUvY&feature=related[/ame]

    Oscar did not have a good round one; as Steward observed, he was throwing punches without first utilising the jab. IF Oscar had done that in this first round, the fight is a draw. Round two was to be different. The first three punches that Oscar throws are jabs, and Mayweather is sent on the move througout. This is why a top-line jabber doesn't have to worry so much about Floyd engaging mid-ring with boxing, he gives ground to this punch when it is one he respects. Floyd doesn't see the middle of the ring in this opening section. Note that Oscar throws a right hand lead at the end of this passage that misses by a country mile; furhtermore, note that the counter-punch that Mayweather throws in return also misses, inspite of Oscar's being head-down, vulnerable. Why? Mayweahter, in the first minute of this second round has been placed purely on the backfoot by the opposition jab. He can punch of that back foot as well as anyone, but he's not superman - if his balance is engaged in ditching the lead-jab of the opponent he is more likely to miss if the distance is closed than if he is still leaning in, which he was able to do in round 1 becuase of the telegraphed punches that Oscar was throwing. That is the difference in employind the jab, and that is the reason it is such an equaliser when it comes to true speed, at least in my opinion. Unless the speedster is also a warrior -which we've agreed he is not- he is looking first and foremost to avoid an engagement in which the opponent lands first. Mayweather has his speed shaven not in that the jab is the easiest punch to land fast but because he of his determination to avoid that punch - "the boxer's threat is virtual".


    Oscar now has Mayweather looking for a "solution" as you eloquently put it. Mayweather is susceptable to feints. Marquez, Castillo and Oscar were all able to land a straight hand after feinting (tactics, not strategy, Mayweather's most significant way of straight-jacketing an opponent). Look here at 3:09. Oscar, not a great feinter draws reactions from Mayweather by moving his hands and moving his feet. Result: Mayweather struggles to lead,a nd after throwing a single jab he is at the ropes, exactly where Oscar wants him. He is feinted and jabbed across the ring where he looks to pocket-defence, Oscar lands a decent right hand across the top and has, 45 seconds into the round, bought himself a lead on points in frame 2.

    In the opening round, Lampley notes in commentary that Floyd doesn't tend to lead with the jab, that he looks to lead with the showing punches, left hook, lead right. Now, Mayweather is leading with that jab whilst going away. By utilising the jab and by feinting, Oscar has brought Mayweather down from the rareified air in which Mayweather is used to boxing. He is now jabbing with a great jabber, using technically proper backfoot tactics against a bigger fighter; in short, he's fighting Oscar's fight. Oscar responds by jabbing and throwing, landing the right hand over the top, but from a safe place now - the right hands he was throwing in round one were getting him nowhere, not because of fussy matters of technical propriety, but because Mayweather is looking for the jab. De La Hoya uses it to buy himself space. Mayweather tries to counter with the jab but it's a backfoot jab, Mayweather goes wide with it and Oscar lands again.

    Oscar continues to move Mayweather back, Mayweather reamins unable to lead with his flashier stuff. Against Castillo, who looked to bull a bit more, Mayweather was able to land his flashier stuff (early on) because he new where his man was going to be and what was coming - Mayweather reacts to feints, reacts to punches, but you need to have a tool that will keep him in that state near-permenantly to keep him under control, and there's no other punch that is doing that.

    This pattern repeats througout the round with Mayweather showing no adaption. Mayweather lands one right hand and is flurried in response, mainly to the body, then lands one left. Oscar lands a variety of shots that his more mecurial opponent can only dream of. Oscar wins the round.


    This fight interests me because there was a lot of talk about why Oscar threw this jab less and less as the fight went on. Indeed, it was a part of Larry Merchant's (?) post-fight interview with Oscar if I remember rightly, and Oscar had no fixed answer as to why. Personally, I think he just tired and got sick of getting clipped as he moved into range - but Mayweather didn't really find the answer for this punch.

    Not to say that every fighter who gets into the ring with him should try to outjab him. Oscar's jab is the very height of conistancy when he is throwing it, and Mosley's "flicking" jab just isn't going to cut that mustard, he would lose that fight. And for the record I also think that Mayweather's speed and intelligence denotes a change of tac anyway, and the timing of that change is crucial. Furthermore, I don't see anyone at the lower weights beating Money out-of-sight, and I think that any tactical change needs to make the fight messy, difficult to score, make the rounds appear debateable at least and you have your chance, but I do think that the jab should be the weapon of choice at the opening of round one - which, as I said, had Oscar done so he gets a deserved draw (probably - there's always the chance Mayweather did "solve" him and would have done that ar ound earlier).

    It's not that you're going to "box" him, it's that you need to keep him from boxing you.
     
  5. dpw417

    dpw417 Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Fantastic post.
    Freddie Roach commented that Oscar began to follow Floyd around rather than cut him off. This took away the jab because Oscar was always resetting. Fatigue could have been one of the main factors in this.
     
  6. McGrain

    McGrain Diamond Dog Staff Member

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    Cheers DP. I think Roach's answer is the closest we'll get to one that satisfies.
     
  7. PowerPuncher

    PowerPuncher Loyal Member Full Member

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    I don't think the most complete boxers have a blueprint, not that they can't be beaten, but they don't have a particularly weakness that can be continually exposed. What was the blueprint to beat Whitaker? Ali? Robinson? Leonard? Duran? There are certain strategies to use and sometimes you may even win or have success but dont think they won't adapt and make that blueprint anything but a

    As for being scuccessful against FMJ, it depends on the style of the opponent. A jab is an effective tool against any fighter so thats a given against a great 1. The people citing Delahoyas jab as an effective weapon, are pretty much myth spreading the 'DLH would have won if he kept the jab working'. Yes DLH had more success early but his jab wasn't landing for the most part, yes Mayweather backed up but Oscars pressure was still largely ineffective. Mayweather usually takes a few rounds to figure his opponent out, see Hatton/Judah/DLH, plus all those fighters tried to rush him early

    1. So yes obviously a jab is important BUT Not just jabbing but:

    A. Trebbling the jab - Oscar scorred few of his jabs, but it did land at times. A fighter may be able to slip 1 jab but trebbling the jab, you can't do this mechanically though, you need to pick each jab at high speed, if your being mechanical he'll slip all your jabs. The more you throw the more you'll land, it needs to be a piston

    B. Jab to the body - easier to land, than a jab to the head

    C. Follow up on the jab - throw the left hook to the body or 1-2 or right to the body, use it to open the defense up

    D. Fast Jabs with great timing - Generally only faster fighters have managed to have success with the jab although Castillo was fast enough and timed his well enough to land his jab more effectively than arguably anyone

    E. Recoil and unpredictability - Important so you don't get countered with rights

    2. Outwork/Pressure Mayweather:

    A. In a fight were 40 punches per round are thrown Mayweather can't be beat, his quality is too good

    B. Upping the pace will make it uncomfortable, those fast punches and slick moves are tiring even for Mayweather sohe prefers a low output

    C. At mid range and long range you probably wont land, at close quarters mayweathers defense is comrimised as your shots dont have to travel as far and thus get to their target quicker

    D. He will avoid single shots but throwing 5-6 in a combination will see some get through, and working the areas you can hit, ie the body although Mayweathers body defense is very good

    E. Fighting smart - pressure without accuracy won't work, use variey, pick your punches and dont come in with your guard down like Ricky Hatton or your getting turnbuckled

    F. Fast footwork to close the gap and close him down, Hatton actually did pretty well in this sense, you have to chase Mayweather and cut of the ring because otherwise he'll outmanouver you all night

    3. Fight/Box 3miniutes of every round

    A. Mayweather attacks when his opponents output drops, he also counters when a mistake is made. Few fighters can pressure continually without dopping their pace but if you can stay on him hes less likely to open up himself

    B. When you take a drop he'll be over you, you need to be able to box/counter/slip/block when his happens or he'll play patter cake with your head

    4. Work the body

    A. Your probably not going to land much to the head so work the body and break him down

    B. Use feints to set traps, throw slow left jabs so he counters with the right and look to throw fast left hooks to the body as he does that. Then

    5. Fight dirty

    A. Mayweather turns away from his opponent as a defensive tactic. Its a perfect opportunity to rabit punch, if the ref lets you keep doing it. Alternatively hes also open to short right to the side of the head, which wouldnt actually be a foul but could even be a KO punch

    B. Push and wrestle him off balance, low blow him, headbutt, use elbows. Just make it a rough tough night

    6. Hurt Mayweather, 1 of the first rules of fighting, if you can hurt him and continually hurt him you'll drag him into the fight he doesn't want. Easier said than done

    Its obviously going to take a special fighter to pull this off, the only 2 who have a chance are Williams and Pacquaio and I'd certainly give Williams the better chance with his range. I can't see anyone else posing a big threat unless Mosley can continually force Mayweather to the ropes keep Mayweather at mid range and let his hands go to body and head. Ofcourse Mayweather will be as vunerable to age as anyone and in 2-3years Bradley, Khan and Alexander will pose threats to an ageing Mayweather
     
  8. GPater11093

    GPater11093 Barry Full Member

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    Thanks

    McGrain could I quote that?

    For me the most important thing is keep Mayweather occupied, he likes to be in controll you seen when even Hatton had him on the ropes he turned off in spells on the ropes and when Hatton started to hold and maul Floyd was able to get back in controll, but when Hatton was keeping Mayweather busy with flurries and combos he shut off. Mosley definitly has the strength and speed to pin Mayweather on the ropes and keep him busy with fast flurries IMO. As SH and afew others have mentioned jabbing him to the chest can also keep him busy.
     
  9. McGrain

    McGrain Diamond Dog Staff Member

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    Pal, you can quote anything I write, you don't even have to ask.
     
  10. GPater11093

    GPater11093 Barry Full Member

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    Can I quote that?

    Thanks. What do you make of the idea of keeping Floyd busy, for me thats the key. He can shut off and do too much defence especially when kept busy, but maybe it is the way that lesser fighters have made themselves at least have some sucess against Floyd, maybe a better fighter wouldnt have the same luxury of Floyd turning off.
     
  11. janitor

    janitor VIP Member Full Member

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    There is a blueprint to beat everybody.

    The only thing in question is whether there is a fighter around with the skillset to implement it.
     
  12. BritInvasion

    BritInvasion keepin on keepin on Full Member

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    Great post. Exactly the kind of informed, serious and detailed post that makes ESB Classic such a great place, not just for some of you heavy posters to opinionate; but to learn. Some of the General guys could do worse than check in here just to read up, and shut up.
     
  13. MRBILL

    MRBILL Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Fraud Mayrunner is in the same boat as Royale "With Cheese" Jones.......... Once Mayrunner losses his speed and reflexes, he'll get pounded and beaten.........

    The real question is, is Mayrunner smart enough to exit the bidness before he slips and dips too far.?.?

    Fraud Mayrunner already seems to be having "TAX" issues, so I can see him hanging on way too long for the need of an extra buck or two....... CHRIST!

    MR.BILL
     
  14. Stonehands89

    Stonehands89 Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    (...Among the best retorts I've ever gotten here, McGrain.)

    The difference in round 2 seems larger than the jab. Oscar was closer to Floyd. In the first, Oscar was not punching and not pressuring. He spent too much time outside of the perimeter and when Floyd moved he didn't close the distance. In the second, the difference was aggression both explicit and implied. Moving closer, using the jab to get Floyd on the ropes and to set up combinations... Floyd seemed to defer because of an imminent threat. Oscar woke up and became more dangerous. This forced Floyd to exercise caution. The jab was part of a bigger picture if you will. Important, yes, but we differ, probably only a smidgeon, on how important it was.

    The importance of the jab is often, if not usually, dependent on the level of the threat coming after it. Oscar was using his jab as a warning siren (think of a train with Floyd on the tracks in front of it) and Floyd was preoccupied with getting out of the way. When Oscar feinted or led with a right or a left hook, Floyd responded the same way. He's not looking to counter so much as not get hit. If Oscar only threw the jab, Floyd would've adjusted and countered him without fear of what's coming next.

    Absolutely. So we see Oscar getting closer, jabbing with imminent follow-ups, and feinting. He's preoccupying Floyd's mind and therefore slowing down his calculations.

    Tactics are best couched in a grander strategy, however simple. Arcel's grand strategy for Duran in Montreal? "Be the Boss." Tactics were applied on the field but Duran's purpose was to disallow the speedy phenom from getting into the fight. He forced Ray to try to keep him at bay the whole night and it was not only physically taxing for Ray, it was mentally and emotionally exhausting. And the jab was less important in that instance.

    Mayweather jabbed plenty in round 1.

    Mayweather is not, I would say, 'looking for the jab.' He is a chess player and therefore is looking wider and longer-term than that. He's looking at what's coming after the jab. That is why the jab is best utilized against Floyd as part of an array that includes feints, lead rights, and unorthodox or unexpected shots. Floyd is a thinking fighter. You'll want to confuse him.

    I like that last sentence.

    I would argue,however, that 'a specific tool to keep him in a state of near-permanent control' is less important than pressure and confusion. The jab is part of that...

    Agreed. Jabbing him to death in round one will do many things:

    1. preoccupy him.
    2. allow you to find your range instead of him finding his.
    3. send a message to his insecurities.

    ...You need to keep him from reading you.
     
  15. The Morlocks

    The Morlocks Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    speed and power kills. I said it last year and I say it again. SHANE MOSELY WILL BEAT MAYWEATHER AND PROBABLY BY A KNOCKOUT!:hat