Free Haye vs Klitschko tickets!!!

Now that I've got your attention, this is yet another betting post.

Instead of just listing the bets I'm gonna try at least justify them and will consider some alterations if I'm persuaded.

Bet one: Straight forward Accumulator

Sturm to win (Macklin) 1.22
Cloud to win (Mack) 1.11
Brook to win (N'Dou) 1.03 (craziness)
Klitschko to win (Haye) 1.57
Bute to win (Mendy) 1.05
Bellew to win (McKenzie) 1.28
Gavin to win (Woodhouse) 1.012
Burns to win (Cook) 1.16
Chisora to win (Fury) 1.61

All in all you are looking at 5.66 when bunched together. Now I know what the more experienced punters are thinking, having so many favorites on one bet is basically asking for trouble. Especially at such seemingly low odds, but when you actually break down what you are betting on, you are in essence staking on three fights.

There are two fights on that list that aren't even worth debating; Gavin vs Woodhouse and Bute vs Mendy, the odds reflect this view. So now we are down to seven. The two other fights on the ****** card are also very straightforward to predict; nobody on these forums has picked Cook against Burns and Bellew can only surely improve on his performance this time round against McKenzie. Cloud and Brook are solid operators in their respective divisions and they are both fighting guys who basically gatekeepers, and in my opinion they have both beaten better or equal opposition (I know you could argue against this, especially for Brook but I would put Jennings on the same level as N'Dou).

So now we are looking at Sturm, Klitschko and Chisora. This ain't gonna be a tactical breakdown as I've got more bets to discuss but I've at least put some thought into these choices. Firstly, Sturm will deconstruct Macklin, I think there is even a possibility he will stop him late but even if you don't share this view, we know that Sturm can win rounds with his jab as well as anyone in the sport. Klitschko vs Haye is the one I am probably most unsure about, but the reason I've gone for the former is because Klitschko can beat Haye in more ways that Haye can beat Klitschko, hence the bet on Klitschko to win, not by KO or TKO. The Ukrainian is just more rounded as a boxer. And finally in regards to Chisora; I fancy him strongly against Fury. This is really a bold move from Hennessy and a big step up for Fury, I can see Chisora showing embarrassing Fury. I wouldn't mind putting on a separate bet for Chisora to stop him.

Bet two: Trixie (meaning you need two winners for a return)

Sturm by decision 1.72
Haye by KO, TKO, or DQ 3.00
Chisora by KO, TKO or DQ 3.00

So I'm hedging my bets here to an extent, you can get 15/1 on this treble if you wish but the Trixie makes it a safer bet. Already explained my position on Chisora and as for Sturm I'm playing devils advocate to my previous position. The German only has 15 K0's, not a great deal. Moving on, the only way Haye beats Wlad is by KO, I would love anyone to make a case for Haye winning on points! The only possible scenario is that Klit has a slender lead on points going into the last round is knocked down a couple of times, thus surrendering his lead. But come on, neither K brother has lost on points, ever! In over a 100 pro fights together, it just won't happen folks.

Bet three: Trixie

Chisora in rounds 7-9 9.00
Klitschko in rounds 7-9 8.00
Sturm in rounds 10-12 12.00

I'm not taking this one seriously, the odds are over 800/1 on these three all happening for a reason. Just want your views on these choices.

Bet four: Super Yankee (three winners for a return)

Brook/N'Dou Over 9.5 1.50
Sturm/Macklin Over 9.5 1.33
Murray/Mitchell Over 9.5 1.80
Chisora/Fury Under 9.5 2.00 (bookies have got that one wrong me thinks)
Wlad/Haye Under 9.5 1.60

Around 12/1 as a fivefold, not gonna keep much longer here. N'Dou went the distance with Canelo I believe, Sturm fights tend to go quite long, Murray/Mitchell is one I would need your advice on but I see these two as Boxers first and punchers second. Chisora, as I have said previously will be too much too soon for Fury and I think it is reasonable to suggest the big heavyweight showdown will end in a knockout.

Finished!:happy

 

Anyone with constructive comments?