Fury-Wilder 3 - Preview/Prediction

Yeah it is almost like the American Boxing mafia do not want AJ and Hearn to have all the belts or at least a chance of getting them all......

 

Honestly... Unless it's contractually obligated, which AFAIK it isn't, then if Wilder wins he'll run a mile from a 4th fight - he'll claim he won the first, knocked out Fury in 2/3 fights and that Fury is beneath him and doesn't deserve a rematch.

Doesn't matter that sane neutrals will overwhelmingly agree that Fury would still be 2-1 up, doesn't matter that on paper it would be 1-1-1... Wilder won't risk his belt against Fury or any other live opponent ever again - no AJ unification bout, back to ducking Dillian and more derisory defences against poor quality opponents.

I'd like to think I'm wrong about all this, but nothing Wilder has ever done or said gives me any hope...

 

I suspect you're right. His handlers will probably try and build up a fight vs Ruiz Jr instead. Nothing he's ever done suggests he's serious about unifying, he'll just be fed a steady supply of heavies signed with Haymon just like before and duck any mandatory that comes his way if possible or retire before a mandatory can be enforced.

 

The part about the rest is interesting, but to your first point, I could imagine the only thing worse than Wilder style is a rusty Wilder style. Longest stretch of inactivity with covid, all he will bring is old muscle memory

 

His last long stretch out from a bicep injury saw him return vs Washington and get out boxed by a guy who's not even gate keeper level. So I suspect you are right this time off will only make him worse not rejuvenate him in any way.

 

his attitude as why this is the most likely scenario. If you’ll permit an analogy, using my avatar pic, when Covid hit I stopped all rehearsals and I’ve spent the last 14 months with my teacher basically breaking all the muscle memory down from my left hand and rebuilding the ergonomics properly. So from my part as the student a complete admission to myself that the prior technique was not sound and would never see me through , have to completely humble yourself. I’m 50 years old

 

I have no excitement for this fight at all. Fury wins a lopsided UD. Wilder will get beat down again, but he won't be stopped unless the ref does. His corner has walking orders this time to not stop the fight no matter what and I think Fury will pummel him but won't give the ref a reason to pull the plug

 

The only hope I give Wilder,if comes out swinging like mad & hopes he catches Fury with a bomb or 2.

 

That's all he can do. Unfortunately he's very good at achieving success using that strategy.

I know he divides opinion on here, but all UK fans (regardless whether you're Fury or AJ) should be rooting for Fury here. If Wilder wins there's no chance of unification. As above, he will keep avoiding it and fight a stream of easy opponents before retiring.

At least if Joshua loses to Usyk he will look to unify.

 

When it comes to taking on Wilder, I tend to think it's a massive mistake to try outside-boxing and dragging things out to later rounds. As Wilder -- actually rather eloquently -- put it: "these guys have to be perfect for 12 rounds, I only need to be perfect for two seconds." So I tend to think the only reliable strategy is to bully and smother Wilder early and put him down as fast as possible.

But Fury surprised me in both fights, with his chin/heart in the first match, and his change of style in the second, so there's probably little reason to think he won't surprise me in the third fight.

 

Thats a silly strategy, if he missed with them (and he likely will) he gases out and Fury stops him within 4 rounds.

Regardless, I can see Fury going for the knockout here. You can tell there is a lot of animosity behind the scenes with some of the **** Wilder has come out with and I ge the sense Fury wants to punish him.

 

He may do better this time but remember this is Wilder's cash-out fight.
He insisted on this fight for the $$$, knowing he would lose.

 

Wilder KO.

 

If Fury can get Wilder to the ropes or in the clinches, he'll just lean all over him, tie him up, bully him and work him over on the inside again and wear him out by the 4th round before laying it on Wilder for a few more rounds before a stoppage.

Not that different to the second fight and why should it be? Wilders foot work and ring IQ is a very poor second to Fury so the fight will happen where Fury dictates and Wilder will struggle to keep a 260-280lb behemoth off him without blowing his wad.