Gambling with Stovepipe

interesting point

 

well, good points, but I actually like Mosley to win vs the odds, meaning I think he is a good value at the price, or better than the odds indicate.

I question the theory going around now that Margarito was seriously ill prepared for Mosley. And even if Mayorga gave Mosley troubles he is a completely different fighter than Floyd. I think Floyd is the favorite and likely winner but I honestly feel it could go the other way. One thing I think about is that I doubt Mayweather will hurt Mosley but I'm sure Mosley can hurt Floyd if he can find him.

DLH won a lot of rounds vs Floyd and lost by SD. Sure, Floyd could win this fight 9 rounds to 3 and put on a master class, but there are a lot of other scenarios I can see unfolding too. Floyd fighting a negative fight and not winning rounds, Floyd getting hit with a big shot, Floyd being exposed as a guy that can't hang with an elite welter....Floyd being forced into a war and hurting his hand. I don't know. I certainly am not saying Mosley will win or even that it is likely. But its far more than some tiny little hope. For me, its better than the odds.

And for me, betting is fun....I try to do it intelligently and also enjoy the fights. It will be fun to have a small bet riding and root for the upset but I can't blame anyone for going the other way.

 

I had something come up and didn't have a chance to place a bet, which is good, because I would have bet small on Mosley. I saw the fight. No controversy, dominant Mayweather performance. I am sure glad I didn't bet.
I would have hit Ponce De Leon and Alvarez but they were both probably huge favorites anyways.

 

garcia +250? t beat Marg? shouldn't that be more like +450? I was hoping to get better odds on a small play

 

Cintron is at +400 at sportsbetting and +480 at the greek, if I can get Cintron by KO at +700 or more I like a very small bet on that.

Williams gets hit a whole helluva lot. Cintron can box well.
It could easily turn into Cintron getting his heart tested under pressure and failing, but at 54 he boxes more now and Williams doesn't have the defense of Maravilla.

What can we take from the Margo losses? The Puto is Margarito. aka Mrs Loaded Gloves.

Cintron was full of **** when he said he beat Sergio Martinez, he lost by KO, but Williams lost to Sergio too in a close, great fight, in my mind.

Sergio isn't the puncher Cintron is.

I can see Cintron putting Williams on his ass with a big shot, and boxing defensively during Williams helicopter punching assaults, that is assuming Williams doesn't simply go airborne from catching so much wind with his many punches, and simply fly out of the ring. I think that is why they chose the Home Depot Center, so that Paul won't crash into a roof.

It is also quite possible that Williams gets knocked down and it simply pushes him to another level and Cintron goes "oh ****, now he is mad, I think I just hurt my hand"

who knows.

I like Cintron at these odds.

 

Yeah I know this could be two EASY knock out losers, but that is why I got the high

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a lot of risk.


Straight Wager 05/06/10 17:46 ET
bet 5.00 to win 20.00 Result: Pending
Paul Williams vs Kermit Cintron
Paul Williams
Kermit Cintron 05/08/2010(20:30 ET)
Kermit Cintron 5.00


Straight Wager 05/06/10 17:34 ET
bet 5.00 to win 13.75 Result: Pending
Antonio Margarito vs Roberto Garcia
Antonio Margarito
Roberto Garcia 05/08/2010(21:00 ET)
Roberto Garcia 3.75

 

why are you obsessed with me?