Pick em fight IMO. Anyone that thinks their fighter is going to win by blowout is fooling themselves. Calzaghe has underrated toughness and a great workrate he's out to prove something and he's the real deal. Hopkins is perhaps the most mentally tough fighter in the sport and is a master of taking a fighter out of his game. Look at the way he took away Winky's jab and made him fight his fight. This is going to be a great fight and to tell you the truth I can't pick a winner right now but will do so a week or so before the fight.
i know what you are trying to get at but there is an explenation, tito trinidad was coming back, one of the most entertaining fighters of our generation, would you want to bet against him?
Against Roy Jones, after 2+ year layoff, coming off a lopsided defeat, at a weight 10 lbs. heavier than he's ever fought, when he's a 4/1 underdog? Yes, I would bet against him in that scenario everytime.