I think so, too. Chances are, it will be Jones if he wins. I definitely don't want to see Calzaghe waste his time fighting Hopkins, when Dawson is lurking out there as a *real* elite opponent.
Dawson beats Hopkins and makes him look out of his league...Hopkins workrate is on the decline and each time he fights he gets a little slower...
His workrate has actually increased since he fought Taylor twice. I think it has to do with his new weight. It's more natural for him. He doesn't have to drain down. And he's been more on the aggressive against Tarver and Wright. He chased down Tarver a lot and in the Wright fight, he exchanged a lot more while on the inside.
You have point but look at his punch output and energy vs Dawson...Tarver and Wright are both in the same boat...they are not busy fighters...They are all old...but look at how Dawson is constantly attacking and has the reflexes to dodges and use his footwork...I think Dawson just has too much movement for Hopkins at this stage in Hopkins career...
Exactly....Tarver has always had a low workrate. And Wright usually has a good workrate, but not 10lbs over his weight class. Dawson is going to be a different animal entirely.
I know what you're saying. I'm just just disagreeing where you said that Hopkins' workrate has steadily decreased when in reality, it has not.
Well, it has decreased since 2001, for sure, but I agree in his last couple fights it's been better. On the other hand, he was matched against other relatively low-output guys in those fights, which meant he didn't have to fight as defensively. It's very possible that he'd shut it down again if confronted by a strong, speedy, and active puncher.
And i agree. That's why i think he wouldn't want to fight a guy like Pavlik for the reasons you mentioned.
I was just about to post this actually, Chad is one of my favorite fightersm but Hopkins wont take this fight unless he had the game plan to win. And Chad has never really been roughed up in a fight be4, and B-Hop would do that all night to frustrate a young chad, and potentially win on points.
I don't think Hopkins could beat Pavlik anymore....on the flip side, I think Dawson would beat Pavlik rather easily at this point, though Pavlik has shown he is improving.
I'd give Hopkins a small chance at Pavlik, but he'd have to work very hard to win seven rounds. But he could land right hands at will and flush, there's no doubt in my mind. Yet again, though, he'd probably get outworked. I also agree that Dawson would box circles around Pavlik, and he might even get the stoppage. He's far too dynamic and skilled. Taylor and Dawson have some athletic similiarities, but the skills and ring intelligence are many miles apart.
All Im going to say is dont count Hopkins out, he is a smart ******* in that ring, and though some1 might be more skilled. He can find ways to win, and I respect him for that. Chad Dawson has the speed yes, not as fast as RJ but fast none the less. But what gave Hopkins trouble when he fought RJ was not just the speed but the unorthodox punches that RJ throws. I would pick Dawson b/c of his ability, but dont count B-Hop out man, he would rough the young boy up and take him out his game.
Well just remember, Dawson would be the biggest fighter Hopkins has faced. Dawson is 6'3 and has grown to a full LHW. He is more orthodox certainly than Jones, and I don't think he is as fast as Jones was (who was?) but he presents a puzzle that Hopkins may have the brains the solve, but no longer the physical ability to solve.