Sticking with Hopkins in this one, if Hopkins doesn't run out of gas too early and shows some of what he showed against Tarver then this is his fight.
Pavlik ain't gonna handle the weight and Bernard's style,people ssay he has power,it will be gone at 170 and Bernard will take apart his skills.Only thing that worries me is his workrate
Hopkins won't be too active either so Pavlik doesn't have to worry much there as long as he can do what he usually does. If he fades late and Hopkins still has some stamina then he's in for hell, otherwise he won't have to worry much if he's tired because Hopkins won't be fresh either.
He lost 9-3 to Joe, but Kelly is not Joe. Kelly has to be the favourite, but I give Bernard a better chance here of pulling off the upset. Against Joe, he was dealing with a younger, better conditioned man who was at his general level of skill. Against Kelly, the first two parts are true but the third is not. I'm picking BHop to pull off this upset. If he does it, it will be his third time for me, as I picked him over Tito (NOT an upset, IMO) and Tarver.