How likely is Hopkins to stop Pavlik?

i think bhop by desicion would have been a better bet but i also have 10 on bhop by ko or tko

 

IMHO, almost none. He will play a defensive fight and pick his spots in an attempt to go 12 solid rounds. He is too aware of the fact that if he tries to go after a KO, he might gas out and this will really leave him vulnerable. Now a KD is completely different.

 

What odds did you get. I bet on the Hopkins Decision at +600, as I discussed in a thread I started a few minutes ago. To answer your question, I can't see Hopkins stopping Pavlik any way I think about it. Although, you aren't the only one who thinks this has a good chance of happening. It's just that Hopkins hasn't knocked anyone out since a fat DLH, and before that I don't even know off the top of my head. True, he's fought "elite" competition, and in the eyes of some Pavlik hasn't proven his "eliteness" but I don't see Hopkins KO'ing Pavlik if they fought ten times let alone once. But I really really like the decision odds.

 

i got 12/1 on bhop by KO or TKO

 

Hopkins could KO and "execute" Pavlik if he were 8 years younger but he's not. He's 43. I don't think he has the stamina to go for the kill and even if he did stun Pavlik, i don't know if he will go for the kill. I mean just look at the Calzaghe fight. Even the Hopkins that fought JT would've went after Calzaghe.

 

I'm not sure how this is a better bet. Yes, IF YOU WIN it's a better bet, but you are throwing it out the window if you don't think he can cover this. The decision line has way move value in my opinion. Also, I don't know where you are getting 4/1 on decision, I'm getting 6/1, and seeing that line on most sports line sites.

 

Unlikely... very, very unlikely. Even if Hopkins does manage to drop Kelly, he'll back off like he did against Calzaghe and Tarver. I'm afraid Hopkins has lost that killer instinct. A TKO on cuts is a different story though.

 

you keep telling yourself that,zaggy is all but done as well those slaps he was landing on b hop were a joke kelly ain't going to try and bitchslap hopkins he's actually going to punch, something zaggy forgot how to do. and after the ghost disposes of hopkins he'll retire the welshman as well.

 

Hopkins by split decision is his most likely scenario if he were to defeat Pavlik, in my opinion.

 

:yep

 

First of all, I think the odds go a long way in telling you the likely hood of this happening. Given some of your analysis in this thread, I'd stop betting if I were you.