How many % do you give marquez tonight?

32%. Marquez has the advantage in skill & experience but does he still have the reflexes & timing still to capitalize? Also he's a warrior that loves to fight which is NOT how he should fight another warrior in JML who has shown big power in his last fights. RM beat Vasquez by boxing more in the first fight but I can't really tell how much he has left. I do know that whenever a Marquez bro gets in the ring they give it their all. I hope he wins and will be rooting for him as usual but I think JML might be too much for him. Hope I'm wrong.

 

Do I hear 31%?

 

- I did actually think, "Somewhere between 30 and 35. Oh look, BE's gone for 35. 33, then."

 

I was thinking exactly the same when I read the thread title.

 

this is a 50-50 fight imo

 

40%

 

30%

 

50/50. Proven Vs, Untested.

 

I recant my original post b/c Marquez does ok against southpaws but he has to beware of Lopez's RIGHT hook counter. That is going to put Marquez on his ass at some point and I dont think he can recover like he used to. Too many wars.. but he does have the power and the uppercut to knock Juanma out. 30% chance for Raf.

 

Are u Dutch-Italian btw C-B?

 

I'll go 49%.

JuanMa should be a slight favourite. He's younger, fresher and has legitimate power at 126.

We don't really know how worn-out Rafa is, or how he can take a punch at 126 - especially against a hitter like JuanMa. Also, it doesn't take much to convince him to stand and trade punches, which is a bad idea in this fight.

Having said that, Rafa will be the best fighter JuanMa has ever faced. His jab is terrific and it's worth remembering that he also has legitimate ko power. JuanMa won't have felt anything like Rafa's straight right or uppercut. Rafa won't be out-jabbed, that's for sure, so JuanMa will have to risk eating his big shots to get inside and do damage.

I think Rafa has some greatness left in him - and I'm picking him to get it done tonight.

 

80% Marquez is gonna beat that ass, unless he something goes horribly wrong.

 

Yeah at first I was going to go with 40% but I lowered it to 32.

 

29.8 percent!

 

29.8%:rasta