Lots of factors going against this fight: Essentially no promotion, two guys not known for power, lots of other PPVs this fall, etc. So, what's the realistic expectation?
Hopkins name alone will bring 100-200k. Dawson doesn't have a large fan base, there is no big name on the undercard, and it's just not an enticing card, so I don't think any more will buy it. This has HBO/Showtime fight written all over it but it's on PPV.
The fact that Mayweather just fought and Pacquiao fights next month has to affect this PPV. But I still think it's going to do surprisingly well. I say 300K+.
I'm going 150k. There's too much competition in the sports marketplace right now with football and playoff baseball along with too many other PPVs this fall. And the promotion was non-existent.
Some anonymous dude said he and his team are predicting 700 000. Just for the kick im going 500 to 700.