Seeing as boxing in 2007 has been on a real high with big PPV numbers and lots of buzz, I got the wondering how the momentum will carry over into 2008 and the first big fight of the new year. Now most real boxing fans are writing this fight off as being 7 years too late, but let's just discuss how we think it will draw. Looking at both Jones and Trinidad's highest PPV numbers, they both peaked around 500 000 buys. Trinidad did about 520 000 for both his fights against Vargas and Wright, and Jones peaked at around 500 000 against Ruiz. They have various other fights around 400 000, i.e. Trinidad/Hopkins, Trinidad/Mayorga, Jones/Tarver III, etc. So add them together and how many buys do you think they are capable of? I think with the right promotional push in the weeks leading up to the fight, they could probably get about 600 000 buys for this one. Also, does anyone know if HBO is doing any sort of countdown or 24/7 special for it? A 24/7 would probably push the fight to 800 000 to 1 million buys, IMO, but HBO would probably be smart to save those for only the true big fights.
They are doing a countdown...I expect it to do around 400,000 or so. Maybe I'm way off and it does more, but I don't see this fight generating massive interest to reach 1 million.
countdown or 24/7? probably somewhere around 300,000. i dont think i'll be getting it unless i get enought people to throw down for it
I dont want to get it. Yet, these were my idols in high school. So Im most likely going to end up getting it.
i would be surprised if it did 300K. So many fight fans don't care about this fight as it means nothing and is way late.
I think it does more than 300 000 guys. Think about it, Trinidad/Mayorga did about 450 000 buys and Trinidad/Wright did about 500 000 buys. That was Tito's last fight, but he is still supposedly the most popular Puerto Rican fighter out there. Jones' last PPV fight against Tarver did 400 000 buys. Granted he lost and looked shytty, but he has been able to string together a few wins since, so I think if you combine their names and fan bases they should be able to get at least 500 000 buys just off their names and past glories alone. I could be wrong though, but I think a lot of people who claim they won't buy the fight will end up breaking down in the 11th hour and getting it. It's not a relevant fight in 2008, but it is pure SPECTACLE and a truly unpredictable fight.
^well that's true. I guess I was talking more about the PPVs they sold as the main draw. Oscar will double or triple any fighter's usual drawing power.
Name recognition helps sell fights beyond just hard-core boxing fans, who know both guys are shot. It will do a respectable number, far more than it should on the merits of the combatants at this point in their careers.