After watching their last bouts I think this would be a short night. Rodriguez should be happy if he lasts 3 rounds.
If he doesn't roll over from the power of inoue plus improve his conditioning more i'd say he has a good chance to upset him. If its the rodriguez that fought moloney id say he'll be out in 7 or 8
Maloney was incredibly fit and fought at an incredible pace. It was a big achievement to beat him. Don't underestimate Rodriguez folks.