I think Ortiz is closer to 30% because his mentality on the Berto night was special, reinforced by early success, a once in a lifetime performance, he won't have that early success against floyd unless he's really lucky. but your percentage for Rios to win is accurate to that decimal, probably about the chances of floyd just having a random aneurism in the ring.
I like Ortiz, but realistically I give him about a 10% chance, maybe a little less like 8%. Mayweather is better in every way, beside possibly power, but he's only more powerful in theory because he won't be able to land enough big shots to make a difference. Meanwhile Mayweather will be landing clean, hard shots all night. I hope Ortiz really brings his A game in this fight. I really do. He's gonna need it.
A puncher's chance. Which is essentially no chance against Mayweather. This isn't a knock on Ortiz either. I just don't believe anybody beats Mayweather at 147 right now.
Does Ortiz even have a clue on how to defeat Floyd? He'll just be in there to bang and..that's all. Total mismatch on a total shutout.
It all depends in how Mayweather show in the ring. If he is in the same shape an ability as the Mosley fight, he has only a puncher luck, if Floyd is diminish or if he needs more time to regain his old shape it all depends in how much he has lose. The future is uncertain. If you make judgement by the last appereances of Pacman he would mop the floor with Marquez, but you never know. **** happens
Without cuts, Roger jumping in in the middle of round, failed drug test or ten FanMans targeting Floyd at the same time; 1-3% feels right.
about 35 percent. hes young, hes a south paw and hes got good power but overall Floyd is going to trounce him. Floyd takes it the distance to a nice easy UD