How would Frazier and Foreman be considered today if Ali never was exiled?

Discussion in 'Classic Boxing Forum' started by Bokaj, Mar 13, 2008.


  1. Ezzard

    Ezzard Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Ali was 3 and a half years out of the ring. Add 3 and a half years of fighting on his body and if he fights Frazier, Norton and Foreman on the same dates then he really has to do worse.

    But he probably would have met them earlier as you say. Even so. I can't see him fighting Joe until say 69, putting some 2 to 2 and half years on his body. You can make adjustments on tiemscale for the others too.

    But then you have to also factor in that the exile changed Ali. A longer, undisturbed reign would not have see him rise from the ashes. He'd have had less to prove whilst Joe, Ken and George would have had more to prove.

    I'm hanging all thsi on your 'far-fetched' comment. I'm not expecting you to agree with me but I am trying to convince you that it's not far fetched.

    Having a break should take something from you in the short term but it should also allow you to maintain something in the longer term.
     
  2. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    I do agree that his victories over Frazier and, especially, Foreman had been less important if Ali hadn't been exiled. But I don't think that being active during those years would have meant that Ali would be aging badly already at 30-31. Hell, Marciano was in pretty good shape when he retired, and he had a style that was much tougher for his body. Towards the mid 70's I can see time beginning to catch up with Ali, but up until then I think he would lick just anybody around.

    The only loss(es) I seem him possibly suffering before 1975-1976 is if Frazier or Norton catches him on a off night, and even then they would have their work cut out for them. A somewhat depleted and still a bit ring rusty Ali gave Frazier hell in FOTC (ruined him, acccording to many), and an out of shape Ali who suffered a broken jaw on an off night still gave Norton a fight.

    To give both of them victories against Ali (and Frazier's win would have had to come when Ali was on his absolute peak) and also throw in Foreman in there (who I think would have to KO Ali to win)... It definitely borders on far fetched IMO.
     
  3. Ezzard

    Ezzard Well-Known Member Full Member

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    I don't see why he doesn't lose to Norton. Out of shape? Broken jaw? Well Ali always had problems with Norton and always would. If the jaw and training camp were such an issue then he should have won the other 2 fights handily. But he struggled...

    Also if Ali was depleted in the FOTC then he'd have been more depleted with an extra 2-3 years figthing and training. Ring rusty? I think this is overplayed. He had beaten top contenders in previous fights. But for argument's sake I'll give it you. What would make a bigger impact is how Ali fought. He couldn't dance for 15 like he used to. How and when he made ther transition in style would be the key.

    Ali was struggling post-Foreman. Put 3 years on his career and he's really struggling.

    What Ali would have got were 3 and a half years of dominating a weaker late 60s HW division.
     
  4. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    I agree Norton always would've been difficult for Ali, but considering the circumstances when Norton beat him, Ali could well have pulled it off another time. But not necissarily.

    First of all, I think they would have met sometime 1968-1970, probably in 1969. This would have been Ali's absolute peak. There's no reason whatsoever to believe that he (especially considering that he rarely got hit) would have been aging at the age of 26-28.

    Even if they had met in 1971 Ali still would have only been 29. Not many fighters show any real sign of aging at this age, and especially not someone who rarely got hit and who always took it easy in sparring.

    Also, remember that Ali had tremendous recuperation powers. FOTC was one of the most brutal HW-fights ever (Ali got truly hammered at times), but still he turns up just a couple of months later against top contender Jimmy Ellis and puts on one of his best perfomances post-exile. In fact he went on an winning streak that was better than most title reigns. Only after the massacre that was "The Thrilla in Manilla" did his body clearly say no mas.

    Considering this, there's not much reason to believe that a dozen or so fights that Ali probably would have breezed through would have made such a difference. On the contrary, since the fights with Frazier probably wouldn't have been wars of the same magnitude if they met in the late 60's and early 70's, he might actually just have lasted longer instead.

    He would also have been in better condition for most of the early 70's. His first fight with Frazier wouldn't have been as brutal as FOTC was, and therfore not taken so much out of him.
     
  5. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    I think that the Ali that faced Foreman looked better than the one who faced Bonavena. In between he moved on the wrong side of 30, had about 15 fights, 4 really tough ones -one of which was truly brutal.

    So why would about the same amount of fights, almost all easy and none as tough as FOTC, between the age of 25 and 28 make such a difference?
     
  6. Marciano Frazier

    Marciano Frazier Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Ali might win a first encounter with Frazier if they met at the end of the '60s, but a rematch would be inevitable, and I would expect Joe to at least win one of the two meetings. At the very least, either Frazier or Norton would've upset Ali by 1973-74, at which time Foreman would be in place to snag the title off either one of them, unless Ali gets it back in an immediate rematch, in which case it is possible Foreman never wins the title in the '70s, and perhaps consequently lacks the confidence/name-leverage to win it in the '90s as well.

    I would say the most likely scenario is that Ali loses the title to Frazier at the end of the '60s-beginning of the '70s in either a first or second encounter, regains it from Frazier within the next couple years, but subsequently loses it to Norton, Norton loses it to Foreman, and Foreman loses it to Ali. It's possible Frazier's standing drops a bit with a shorter run as "the" top guy in the division, though it could also be seen as improved with a less "tainted" win over Ali, Norton's stock rises with a stint as champion, and Foreman's is about the same, unless he never meets Frazier in this scenario, in which case his resume is weaker.
     
  7. ChrisPontius

    ChrisPontius March 8th, 1971 Full Member

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    Actually, i think Ali got hit way too much during sparring. You can often see him playing the macho, taunting his opponent from the ropes and having his ribs pounded. He had an admirable pain threshold, but i think all that punishment-heavy sparring is one of the reasons that he declined pretty fast for someone who had only one real physically demanding fight in the entire 60's, followed by a three-year layoff.
     
  8. pare

    pare Active Member Full Member

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    it seems like people assume ali beats foreman every time because of the rumble in the jungle.

    i always thought it was africa that beat foreman, not ali. it's why ali never agreed to a rematch.
     
  9. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    I don't think he declined that fast. He kept up well up until Manilla, but after that it went very quickly downhill. But that's what you would expect when a close to 34 year old heavyweight has a fight like that.

    You have a point when it comes to him staying on the ropes and taking punches in sparring, though.
     
  10. Ezzard

    Ezzard Well-Known Member Full Member

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    So are you saying that if Ali had not been in exile he would not have aged any differently? I don't think you can have it both ways.

    If he has the break then he gains something and loses something. If he doesn't have the break it's the same thing.
     
  11. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    It wasn't a "break", it was lay-off. And no, I don't think he necissarily gained anything by it, but he certainly lost something.
     
  12. Ezzard

    Ezzard Well-Known Member Full Member

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    You seem a bit over zealous regarding the exact terminology? Any reason for that?

    We're never going to find any common ground on this subject.
     
  13. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Sorry. That was unnecissary of me. I think I was a bit tired and cranky when I wrote it.

    Doesn't really seem so. Just for the record, I don't mean to say that it's impossible that Ali would have declined earlier if not for the lay-off. I just don't see this as a given, and I don't think he would be past it as early as say 1973 already. I think he still would be a force until around 1975, but, of course, this is all speculation.
     
  14. Ezzard

    Ezzard Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Thanks...

    Here's a question for you then...

    Let's say that you are right...

    Ali deals with Frazier and Foreman.

    This means that they are never viewed as the monsters they were. At least not in the same way. Does this then, in some way, diminish Ali's achievement. Frazier and Foreman being dangeorus challengers rather than champions and ex-champions?
     
  15. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    That's the million dollar question, isn't it? Let's say that he beats Frazier in two tough fights in 1969 and 1971, and outboxes a still somewhat green Foreman in 1972. Frazier would in that case probably just be seen as a very good contender who might have done something in another era (not very much unlike how Quarry is seen today) and as prime Ali's toughest opponent. Foreman's legacy might be even less, maybe not even greater than Cooney's. (If he meets and destroys prime versions of Frazier and Norton, that should elevate him, though).

    So on the one hand, Ali only would have wins over one ATG (Liston) instead of three (Liston, Frazier and Foreman). On the other hand, he might have had a title run that even surpassed Louis's (Norton might have upset this, though).

    The Ali legend wouldn't be the same, that's for sure. He would probably still be considered as the nr. 1 or nr. 2 HW, though. If he matched, or even surpassed, Louis's title reign, that plus his victory over Liston would give him a very strong argument for the nr. 1 spot, I would say. Possibly stronger than the one he has today.