In his prime, Tito wouldn't beat a huge MW like Pavlik, so now he has almost no chance. He could catch Pavlik though and knock him out, which would be an amazing end to his career. Unfortunately, even with Pavlik's shitty defense and vulnerable chin, the chances of that are tiny.
Tito needs to stay away Pavlik too tall and too much power for Tito. The height is the key for Pavlik.
Only against Zuniga and McKart did Pavlik really fight inside, and that's because they forced him to, BUT they still got KTFO!! Why do you think Pavlik's style revolves so much around backing his opponent up? It's simple! If the guy is backing up, Pavlik stays outside because he controls the distance. Boo