I get a lot of comments on that avatar. This is WAY off topic, but here is the tail end of the Ring Magazine 1979 fight of the year. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7W5km1fR78
Paul Williams by unanimous decision. Stylistically, this is a bad match up for Winky. Winky is not a slick boxer who avoids punches and uses a lot of movement and counters, he likes to block punches and come forward return fire when the other guy is not firing. However, Paul William's work rate will not let Winky sit back comfortably and catch punches and come back. He will be out worked in addition to having the lesser reach.
That cry baby beat the snot out of Shane twice, owned Tito, beat Taylor and only lost to Hopkins because he had to fight him at 170lbs. Winky is one of the best fighters of our generation and will get the job done on saturday. You;re right, Williams bit off more then he can chew this time.
This fight is such a hard fight for me to predict. Who knows what kind of shape or how much does Winky have left? If Winky would have atleast taken a tune-up I would be much more confident in making a prediction.