.... if Hayes speed remain the same at 230 lb ... the natural way would be his power is better, speed degraded and stamina become a big issue. We have seen him recently winning in 1 with Bonin, in 2 with Macca and that was at ~210 lb, now he is 230 lb and Toney isn't an easy target to be scratched in the first two rounds. So the most probable outcome would be Haye throwing missing bombs for the first few rounds then tire significantly and lose.