is anyone giving chagaev a chance??

That's a ridiculous statement.....

 

no it isn't.

I am 100% certain povetkin will beat chagaev.

I am only 60% certain vitali will beat adamek.

therefore I would be more surprised if adamek won than I would be if chagaev won.

 

Povetkin hasn't looked impressive against the opposition he's been facing recently. The same with situation with Chagaev...... 50 / 50 ...... i think a lot of people are underestimating Ruslan.....

 

I think the diffreence is that povetkin is just bein a muppet whereas chagaev is clearly shot.

I'd be amazed if pov lost this.

 

fight is taking place in germany. anything can happen.

you shold bet adamek if you think he has a 40 percent chance. he is +425 in many books

 

I'd go with Povetkin by decison but I'd give Chagaev a decent chance of winning. Povetkin hasn't been the most active fighter and hasn't really been in with a good fighter in several years outside of Estrada. Atlas has also mentioned that this hasn't been a great camp for Povetkin, I don't know if thats all truth, possible excuse making, or mind games but it could be a factor as well. Good fight, Chagaev is a semi-live dog but I'd go with Povetkin by decision.

 

I am - Povetkin 60 % (UD win), Chag 40 % (TKO) - if it goes full rounds then 95-5 in Pov´s favor

 

The problems with Chagaev is that he slowed so much even compared with his Valuev fight and that he is quite predictable in the ring. Basing on this Povetkin is rightfully expected to outwork Ruslan and get decision easily.

If there are chances for Chagaev they are in Sasha's weak points that he can exploit:
a) poor defense (even bums he fought lately managed to land on him).
b) Povetkin seems to be easily cut.

Only because of these two points the fight is interesting to me in competitive sense.
Other then that it'd be also nice check to see if Povetkin moved somewhere under Teddy's coaching.