Chagaev is so much more skilled and experienced than Browne he still has to be the favorite. Chagaev coming in close to a career heaviest and Browne a career lowest added with Chagaev having fought one round in 20 months could really change things though. I'd still lean towards Chagaev winning but this is a much more interesting and competitive fight than it should be, a Browne win wouldn't surprise me.