Is Wlad the best all-time-heavyweight? NO OPINION, just PURE RECORD ANALYSIS

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by knn, Jun 21, 2008.


  1. Antsu

    Antsu Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    :lol::lol::lol::lol::lol::lol:
     
  2. psychopath

    psychopath D' "X" Factor Full Member

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    The idiot thread starter . . . is even asking why people think he even likes Klitschko. :-(

    The guy is very succesful in making a name here in the forum. A definitely a cerified member of ESB's HALL of Shame. :yep

    PURE RECORD ANALYSIS . . . NO OPINIONS.

    :lol: :rofl :lol: :rofl :lol: :rofl
     
  3. 0-1

    0-1 Guest

    Bravo!

    Well said, although kudos to KNN for all the work he's done on stats.
     
  4. 0-1

    0-1 Guest

    So...

    The old timers fights at sub-200 can't be counted, because beating 200+ people is harder...

    ...but when they made their own job harder by being sub-200, and fought a 200+ heavyweight, then it doesn't count?

    Could you explain this a bit better please? It seems to me like excluding heavyweight achievements that are even more impressive for the fighter's having been outweighed.
     
  5. knn

    knn amanda Full Member

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    First of all let me say, that (as I wrote above) I am very unhappy that I threw out all the sub-200 fights. But I had to set the margin somewhere. So I set it @ 200 (= how it's defined now).

    Second: I plan to count sub-200 and mixed bouts in the future. I will deduct a % of the fight, because a 180 vs 180 bout is less representative (compared to how we define heavyweight now) than a 190 vs 190 bout.

    So 200+ vs 200+ is 100%
    175 vs 175 is 0% (cruiser margin @ Ali's time)
    187.5 vs 187.5 is 50%
    187.5 vs 200+ is 75%
    190 vs 190 is %60
    195 vs 195 is %80
    190 vs 200+ is 80%
    195 vs 200+ is 90% and so on

    This will also solve another problem (as I wrote above): That a very good cruiser (Holyfield) gets at least some credit for his cruiser bouts.

    I plan also to include "Experience" (= calculated by the number of previously fought rounds at the time of the fight) so that cruisers like Ali get some credit for that, too.

    Moreover Marciano (who has not fought a single heavyweight bout by nowadays definition, being ALWAYS below 190) would be included in the stats, too. But don't get too excited about Marciano, he fought mainly bums (he was fighting during the second world war). He had only 2 non-bum 200+ opponents: 37 year old Joe Louis (Louis' last fight) and Don Cockell (chinachin and featherfist).

    Marciano average fighting weight was 184, the average weight of his opponents (many of the bummiest opponents I have ever counted) was 192. (How you can rate such a boxer as high as some do is beyond me, but let this be not the point here): So the average value of his fights would be somewhere around 52%. It's still better than throwing Marciano completely out as I do now.

    So with my new counting method (which is too calculation-intense to be done by hand) I will include the below-200 bouts.

    Please note, that so far by excluding below-200 fights I also excluded LOSSES that were below-200.

    I am not sure whether it's harder to survive a mixed bout (= 1 fighter above-200 and 1 fighter below-200) by being the lighter or the heavier boxer.
    The lighter fighter is faster (= can punch faster, can punch more frequent, can move away faster) and needs less oxygen for going more rounds (as you can see by the small marathon runners), the heavier is stronger (and probably more punch resistent) but slower.
     
  6. Strike

    Strike Boxing Addict banned

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    :lol: :lol:

    Pathetic. So when a sub 200lb Heavy beats a plus 200lb heavy it does not count as a valid win, because the victor was sub 200lbs?:rofl :rofl :rofl :patsch


    If anything it should be more impressive, according to the abject "logic" in the authors thread, these guys were not even real Heavyweights and yet they knocked out real, non bum Heavyweights, but the fights are not allowed to count.:lol: :lol:

    What a cretin. A person who appears to know even know the difference between a fact and an opinion.
     
  7. 0-1

    0-1 Guest

    Heavyweights can weigh what they want, so all heavyweight fighters should be weighing their optimum for that fight at fight time (let's not talk about James Toney, Danny Williams, etc. etc.....) That's why I think it's a bad idea to exclude any sanctioned heavyweight bouts. If you're going to take a percentage off a Marciano win against a 200+ fighter because Marciano weighed less, then why not add a percentage onto Valuev because he weighs a lot more?

    Anyway, I think your new calculation will be better, but that it's still not right. I think I'd want all heavyweight bouts counted as 100%, with then some extra information about weights of opponents as another statistic alongside: e.g. "Marciano is 10-0 against fighters wiith a 75% winning record, but these opponents weighed an average of 192, and he had only one fight against a convincing 200+ fighter, making it questionable that the usually 184 heavyweight could beat today's biggest and best fighters, very few of whose opponents choose to weigh as little as Marciano did."

    Are you doing this in Excel? I've thought of having a go at boxing stats in it myself...
     
  8. Fire

    Fire Member Full Member

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    Jun 27, 2008
    I know it is common knowledge for any one that covers or watches boxing to say how bad the HW division is and how horrible wlad is..

    i really dont get all the hate for Wlad.... ok he is not the best ever, but to completely dismiss him from beating any of the greats (even if he just got a lucky punch) especially when he is 6'6 245 confuses me... most HW great are 180 to 215 LBS...

    wlad has a quick, sharp, thudding jab and being 6'6 he would rain it down on anyone..

    he has a very powerful left hook that he knocked out ray mercer and recently ray austin in the first couple of rounds

    he has a insanely strong right cross look at byrd, brewster II, ect...


    the question is his chin.... most people that really knows boxing will tell u usually its poor defence that causes u to get knocked out not a weak chin..... wlad has improved his d

    haye can be the career defining win for wlad if both of them keep winning...

    i know most of u will dismiss this as being a wlad lover or whatever but i have watched alot of old tapes of the HW greats and i just dont get why people think they were so much better than wlad, dont get me wrong ali and louis in there early days were incredible and may beat wlad, but to say a 6'6 wlad with ALOT of power in both hands against those guys wouldnt have achance just doesnt make sense to me..
     
  9. knn

    knn amanda Full Member

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    Ali and Louis in the early days were cruisers. So they wouldn't even fight against Klitschko.
     
  10. Antsu

    Antsu Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    You are not sure if being a heavier fighter is advantage?
    Still couple of days ago you said this.

    Have you changed your mind?

    Wouldnt it be a poetic justice if David Haye, a former cruireweight. Would be the man to KO Wladimir and end hes reign.:rofl
     
  11. knn

    knn amanda Full Member

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    So far yes. Usually the below-200 boxer DOES NOT KO the 200+ boxer.

    THAT MEANS that the fight HAS to be scored (duh!)

    THAT MEANS that probably the boxer wins who was more active/more quick etc. which OF COURSE puts the lighter boxer at a huge advance.
     
  12. knn

    knn amanda Full Member

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    Jun 21, 2008
    We had this already, and I asked where this opinion comes from that you may be below-200 for a heavyweight bout. I could not find it in the official regulations.

    I answered this already in a post above. Moreover 200+ is the current definition (and rightfully so, since everything below 200 looks like cruiser) so I don't want to fiddle around with % above 200. As I already wrote in a post above we have to expect that margin to be raised again (like it is raised at MMA), so expect Ali & co to fall even more behind.

    Theoretically one should make such a ranking, but then it would be full of "*" with comments. I want a ranking where the toppest guy can beat the lower guys
    a) more likely
    b) in more cases then other way around.

    So Lennox #1 and Dempsey #2 would mean that
    a) it's more likely that Lennox beats Dempsey
    b) should they clash several times Lennox would beat Dempsey more often.

    No excel. There never will be an excel.
     
  13. knn

    knn amanda Full Member

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    Jun 21, 2008
    1. Thank you again, for actually reading what I wrote
    2. No, I didn't change my mind. That quoted post was not about MIXED fights (1 fighter below-200, 1 fighter above-200)
    3. But since you asked, let me clarify: By itself you cannot say who has an advantage: The lighter+faster boxer or the stronger+slower boxer. But I think that a natural cruiser with a strong chin (like Ali) has an advantage boxing 200+ boxers. And a natural heavy like Lennox has an advantage boxing cruisers. So a nowadays a top natural heavy could UPVALUE his record by boxing cruisers. BUT THAT IS MY OPINION only. That is not the reason why I deleted all fights involving a sub-200 fighter. I deleted these fights because they are not counted as HEAVYWEIGHT as we define it today. Just check out Haye: 199.75 vs 199.25 is NOWADAYS the cruiseweight title. I don't see any reason to treat these weights differently just because a fight took place 40 years ago. They have been CALLED differently then. But what is more important: How they have been called or how heavy the opponents were?
    4. Deleting below-200 fights (mixed or non-mixed) IS a problem in my calculation, as I have already said it. So far deleting mixed weights concerns mainly Joe Louis. Marciano and Dempsey are actually not even cruisers. Compare them rather with Roy Jones Jr, not with Lennox or Tyson.
    5. Joe Louis' record gets WORSE when I keep MIXED fights in his record. Because now I include his losses against Ezzard Charles and Marciano. AND his non-KO wins against Bob Pastor, Cesar Brion (2x) and Jimmy Bivins (so his win-loss ratio gets worse and his KO ratio gets worse). Would I include ALL his below-200 fights then I would include also his loss against Max Schmeling. It's already funny: Basically whenever I re-check the calculations with formulas that old-time fans may feel better with the pasttime-boxers GET EVEN WORSE THAN THEY ALREADY ARE.
    6. When I will run through all the stats I hope I will find a correlation between weight/height and KO ratio/self-KO ratio. So we can state more differentiated whether it's an advantage or an disadvantage to be below-200 to win a fight.
    1) You see? It's not me who starts to talk about Wlad again.
    2) To all those who think that Haye (as a cruiser world champ) can come and KO Klitschko and this will be a proof of how weak Klitschko is (or how pathetic the heavyweight division is): I hope that the same people will admit how weak the cruiser division is when Klitschko outclasses Haye.
    3) From what we hear, Haye was TKOed 3 times (in the 5th round of an 8-rounder) by Kali Meehan. Was a test behind closed doors. So much for the state of the cruisers and the heavyweight division.
     
  14. Fire

    Fire Member Full Member

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    Jun 27, 2008
    actually he was 210 against liston in his first title fight... so yes he would have
     
  15. knn

    knn amanda Full Member

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    Ali is much better than Wlad.... on the clinching toplist.

    AVERAGE clinching is approx. FOUR TIMES MORE than Klitschko. Even in his fight against Samuel Peter (where Klitschko clinched excessively: 20 seconds per round) he clinched HALF AS MUCH as Ali (average 40 seconds per round).

    Even Lennox vs Tyson (where Lennox has been warned for excessive clinching) the average clinching (of Lennox) per round was merely 30 seconds.

    I mean, JUST WATCH ALI's FIGHTS. He basically ends every 2nd of his or the opponents' attacks by grabbing, choking, insulting, head-down-pushing.

    Just switch on Ali vs Frazier III (Thrilla in Manila), especially from round 9 on.