~Joan GUZMAN v. Humberto SOTO ~ ANALYSIS Thread~

I'm going with Soto because I think he is hungrier than Guzman. I also believe that people are overrating Guzmans technical skills and underrating Sotos. Soto blocks punches and slips punch better or at least on equal terms with Guzman. I also believe Soto to be the harder hitter as well as the bigger fighter.

I'm going with Soto by UD or late TKO.

 

Problem with Guzman is he gets into that whole latin american 'machismo' frame of mind and fights other guys fights, and/or showboats and clowns to give away rounds.

We haven't seen the very best of Guzman yet, but I suspect he is motivated for this one as it will set up a shot at the big guns.

Guzman is scary skilled, like a mix between Toney and Joe Calzaghe stylistically and has very fast hands and an iron chin. Soto is a bit of a stylistic problem for Guzman, but if he committs everything to this fight he should be able to overwhelm Soto and get a decision or a late TKO in a competitive battle(Soto isn't iron jawed by any means).

Guzman will do what it takes to win, I'm going with TKO 11 for Guzman, then hopefully we'll see this gem of a fighter in with either JMM or Pac, as he matches up better with both of them stylistically.

....

On another note, it's a crying shame that he's been AVOIDED for most of his physical prime, hopefully he gets to shine towards the end and be remembered as an elite and a danger to anyone.

 

Soto is iron chinned, that shot from Bobby would have KO'd most fighters (Soto didn't see it and it hit him behind the ear, possibly the worst place to get hit). He stayed on his feet and finished BPac.

 

Guzman cant win!!! mark my words. The only way he will win is if he wins a very very boring fight by running alot. See if Pac or the other big names will wanna fight him. Unless he turns exciting and trades (which would be his undoing against Soto) his stock will not rise and therefore= no big fights for him...

 

Guzman has a much better chin than Soto, who was dropped by Bobby Pac. Soto also doesn't have a really big punch, he has decent power, the trading would benefit the much faster Guzman, who has an iron jaw.

 

Soto wasn't dropped, he was stunned and he KO'd BPac a few rounds later. Soto has KO'd his past 6 opponents, while Guzman hasn't KO'd anyone since 2004. Guzman also blows up in between fights, which will sap his stamina is the fight goes into the later rounds. He faded horribly against Barrios.

Soto is going to win.

 

Erik Morales had an Iron Jaw. Guzman has not been truly tested i dont think and no i dont think Barrios was that much of a test. I didnt know Soto was dropped by Pac??? wasnt he just stunned??? And saying Soto doesnt have power?? hasnt he knocked out 11 of his last 12 opponents. That sounds like power to me. We will see this weekend. Like i said Guzman could very well win a boring ass fight by running all night but in the end that wouldnt set up big fights for him so i dont think thats much of a win.