Marcaino would have beat them both on the same day. Henry, Valdes, and Baker would have been the Rocks Breakfast, Lunch and Dinner. But as for the question. Moore has enough left to avoid the early big shots of Louis, and catch Louis with counters and traps as he was stalking him. Louis will be behind on points when he starts landing on Moore around the halfway mark. The old Mongoose will be in real trouble around the 8-9th round after eating a big shot by Louis, Louis was a tremendous closer... but.... he cant quite finish off the constantly slipping and sliding Moore. Joe gets tired and Moore will survive... He wont quite have enough to seal the deal after he survives ,and Joe will keep him away with his Jab till the final bell. Joe will win a close decision.
The movement he showed agianst Valdez on flim would be enough to slip Louis' jab and score with the right hand. Charles didn't run from Louis either, he worked his way inside and scored with combinations, got busted up by jabs, but he won. Louis had a big weight advantage over Charles and Maricano as well.