Joshua a -600 favorite, meaning you’d have to bet $600 on a Joshua victory to win $100.

I am not a gambling man, and if I was for this fight, then I would put some big-time money on AJ and win a little back. It's kind of like betting on PBF to win.

 

But that chin though. You never know. I mean, you never -600 know...

 

Those are the odds for a reason. Miller is getting banjoed into the nearest KFC.

 

I get that, doesn’t change the fact that win/loose ratio is way too unfavourable to bet on AJ.

 

Dunno if you are stateside but Man City away to Newport today (Prem v L2) were 1/16.

City won the game 1-4.

As an example.

Of course, Buster Douglas was 40/1 to beat Tyson. We all know what happened in Tokyo. There are always exceptions to the betting rule.

 

I’m going to put 1000 on the Joshua K.O/T.K.O

500 profit

I think that’s good. No way Miller can survive for 12 rounds

 

Not good value on AJ IMO. Miller has shown a solid set of whiskers and good stamina. If (and it's a big if) Miller can avoid getting hit with anything big, he might be able to grind AJ down to a late stoppage. AJ has shown both questionable stamina and chin. Miller might be able to sap some of AJ's energy with his 300 pound body. Also, I don't think he is going to take a Parker approach and try to just outjab AJ, he'll either come in and try and stop him or get stopped himself.

I expect AJ to win maybe 8 out of 10 times, so I don't think laying -600 is a good bet.

 

Whyte hurt AJ, then AJ nailed him on the break. Miller has a solid punch, and he can throw them all night. An attrition based stoppage can happen for Miller, especially later if AJ tires. Aj will need to be in top shape again. 255+ and he's too heavy.

I like Joshua to win, but I see signs of Joshua becoming undone. He either quickly fouls or rule bends or has the uncanny ability to land a bob when he needs it the most.

Forget it not, then when Wlad floored him and he was on unsteady legs, Joshua spits out his mouthpiece, I say un-purpose and get 15+ seconds or so extra to recover. The ref should not have halted the action for that.

 

And against both whyte and vlad he took the same punch much later on that initially hurt him. He's clams up up and boxes then ko's them.

Joshua is not invincible but recover soon well and actually fights better when recovered.

 

1:6 isn't that huge an underdog.

For Saunders/Isufi, you would have to bet 5000$ to get 100$ off Saunders.

Really, the Joshua/Miller odds are a bit closer than I was expecting. Joshua/Povetkin was like 10:1.