Joyce was good enough to beat Hrgovic in the amateurs. But Joyce is washed up now, his reflexes are gone.
Or awkward enough. There are countless tapes of him now, and out of the two Hrgovic is the one more capable of making adjustments.
Tough for Hrgovic to best Joyce with half a training camp. At the same time, if Joyce does not get rid of those 15-20 extra pounds he is carrying he is in trouble. I feel Hrgovic lights Joyce up early in the fight but fades late and Joyce wins by TKO.