I've picked Hopkins from day 1 with this one, and post-Pavlik it seems even more obvious. Kessler is the #1 SMW, top 15 p4p material if he can get his **** sorted, he should stay as far away from Hopkins as he possibly can.
Hopkins is one of a Greates Boxer in the world No Doubt !!! But he is Old his Time is Over I Think Kessler will win in 9-10 Round by Knockout
Hopkins TKO around 10, was suprised Kessler is so easy to hurt to the body. Hopkins fights real dirty inside, Kessler CONNOT fight inside.
Course I'd watch it! Be as bored as hell but I'd watch it! Hopkins clear ud unless he gets old overnight.
I agree with many things in your posts except a few details: Kessler is very very big compared to Pavlik. Kessler is also a better technician tha Pavlik. That being said, I can see Hopkins win the way you do.