Juan Manuel Lopez vs. Rafael Marquez- Juan Manuel Lopez by KO Glen Johnson vs. Allan Green- Glen Johnson by UD Zab Judah vs. Lucas Matthysse- Zab Judah by SD Omar Niño vs. Gilberto Keb Baas II- Omar Nino Romero by UD Robert Guerrero vs. Vicente Escobedo- Robert Guerrero by UD Kiko Martinez (Paul Hyland is replacing Kiko Martinez) vs. Willie Casey- Willie Casey by KO Alright, let's start with the Willie Casey-Paul Hyland fight. Two Irishman and bad blood between them should lead to being a great fight. Willie Casey is an in-your-face type fighter that throws a lot of punches, while Paul Hyland is a slick boxer that will look to keep Casey on the outside and outbox him. The question is which fighter will execute their gameplan the best? Personally, I think Willie Casey will and stop Paul Hyland in the late rounds. I don't think Hyland has enough pop in his punches to keep Casey and bay and for Casey to respect his power. I believe Casey will be able to go on the inside and wear down Hyland. I can't really blame Omar Nino Romero for fighting Gilberto Keb Bass. Sure, Keb Bass doesn't deserve a shot at Romero's 108 WBC belt, but I can see why Romero wants to fight him because Keb Bass gave Romero his first loss. He stopped him in 5 back in 1998, but this time around I think Omar Nino Romero dominates this fight and wins by wide UD. Now, let's start off with the TV fights, and let's start with the HBO undercard Robert Guerrero and Vicente Escobedo. This fight will be at 135 which is good because Guerrero's last fight against Casamayor at 140 was not only pretty boring (and I don't normally use the term boring too often) but Guerrero just didn't look good as well. Anyway, is an interesting fight. Guerrero and Escobedo know each other from back in the day of fighting as amateurs. This is an interesting fight, both fighters really don't do anything great, everything they do is good, but basic as well. From an entertainment standpoint it might not be all that great, but I do think this will be a close fight that goes to the cards with The Ghost getting the nod by UD. The main event of the HBO card is Zab Judah vs Lucas Matthysse and this is a very interesting fight that I'm looking forward to. Judah is on his comeback trail and Matthysse is going to try and hit the jackpot and crash into the scene ala Marcos Maidana like. And it is funny Matthysse does remind me of Maidana. He's a one trick pony that comes forward and knocks you out. Then we got Judah, and I've never been all that gaga over Judah, even back in is prime and his first fight with Santa Cruz he looked like the same old Judah, and judah has always had problems with pressure fighters and he's fighting a pressure fighter. What I expect is Judah will come out strong and score at will for the first 4 or 5 rounds. After that Matthysse may start picking up steam and with Judah's stamina problems he may'be in trouble as the late rounds go by, but with the help of his home crowd (and may'be some generous judges) Judah finds a way to win by SD on the scorecards. I've been having trouble deciding if Judah by decision or Matthysse by late KO, I'm picking Judah by decision, so we'll see what happens. Now, we move over to Showtime where we have two steller fights happening. The first is the Super 6 fight of Glen Johnson vs Allan Green. I've been going back and forth with this fight as well. It all really depends on how fit and ready Glen Johnson looks at the weigh in, but as of right now I think I will pick Glen Johnson by UD. Johnson has great D and comes forward all recipes that frustrate Allan Green. If Allan Green can't land his money punch left hook, then pretty much all hope is lost for Green. While Glen Johnson will come forward and pressure Green to the ropes. Just like Johnson was able to do in one of his more recent fights against Yusaf Mack, and Andre Ward was able to do that against Allan Green, in Green's recent fight. So, I'm leaning towards Glen Johnson by UD. And now the main event of the day, the guaranteed thriller Mexico vs Puerto Rico, Rafael Marquez vs Juan Manuel Lopez. This fight is at 126 for Lopez' WBO title and really I think Lopez is too big and strong for Rafa Marquez. Marquez started his career at 118 that started in 1995 and he fought at 118 until 2007. Lopez is obviously the bigger man, and in Rafael Marquez' 5 losses 4 of them have been by KO, and then you tack on the 3 grueling wars he had with Izzy Vazquez and I think that has taken a lot out of Rafa leading to a KO victory for Lopez, but that by no means that Rafa will lay down for Lopez, Rafa will get his share of punches and may even drop Lopez a couple of times in this fight which will lead to a FOTY canidate for 2010. I just think that Lopez' youth, strength, and size will stop Rafa late.
Damnit.... I think you are spot on, as usual. I am not going to pick on this fight for some reason.... believe it or not I actually havnt seen as much of Lopez as one would think given hes a fairly big name at this point, and with me not really knowing what to expect from Rafa at this stage of the game, Im just going to sit back and enjoy this one but not pick, however, if I was picking it would be Lopez by TKO..... I think its a long shot that Rafa wins this and your breakdown is exactly why. Thanks for the good read through, always find them interesting :thumbsup
Aw, shucks lol. Thank you though that means a lot. I love doing these and you know with some big time boxing this weekend I figured I had to do the breakdown of these fights.
Indeed that was a nice breakdown. We'll see about Green/Johnson and Judah/Matthysse though.. :good :smoke
Hmm I dont think we should expect Green to be pushed to the ropes the way he was against Andre Ward. The reason Ward was so successful was because he was able to half tie Green up and at same time work the angles. Johnson doesn't do that, he's a straight forward type aggressor who'll just walk you down and occasionally get you on the ropes to land some punches. IMO the winner of this fight will be the one who has the better jab. Green should stay on the outside of Johnson, and keep distance between them.. If he's successful in doing that, I can see him landing some good left hooks when ever Johnson opens up. In the Yusaf Mack fight Johnson looked real good with his jab. It was fast, stiff and it annoyed Mack. By using his jab he was able to force Mack around the ring and eventually land his bombs. The Jab wins the match, and I think Green will have the edge. Green 115-113 or 116-112 It'll be a close and good fight.
Juan Manuel Lopez vs. Rafael Marquez- Juan Manuel Lopez by TKO Glen Johnson vs. Allan Green- Glen Johnson by UD Zab Judah vs. Lucas Matthysse- Zab Judah by UD Omar Niño vs. Gilberto Keb Baas II- Omar Nino Romero by UD Robert Guerrero vs. Vicente Escobedo- Robert Guerrero by UD Paul Hyland vs. Willie Casey- Willie Casey by TKO
11/6 - Juan Manuel Lopez vs. Rafael Marquez - Rafa KO 11/6 - Glen Johnson vs. Allan Green - Green TKO 11/6 - Zab Judah vs. Lucas Matthysse - Zab TKO 11/6 - Omar Niño vs. Gilberto Keb Baas II - Nino UD 11/6 - Robert Guerrero vs. Vicente Escobedo - Escobedo UD 11/6 - Kiko Martinez vs. Willie Casey - Martinez UD
This content is protected This content is protected 1 more day!!! Sux I'm only able to watch Green/Johnson (legally anyway)