Ward's still faster and Kovalev still backs up in straight lines. Try to out jab ward? Good luck with that gameplan. I think Kovalev is going to have quite a difficult time fighting inside, against someone who isn't scared of him. If Ward can control the distance, which I think he can do quite easily, he will win the fight.
Good video and nice observations as always, Bogo. But I would strongly urge you to please use a drop shadow on the all white text. Tricky to see well when it's up against light colored backdrop.
I don't think Kovalev needs to outjab Ward, necessarily. Kovalev just needs to make consistent use of his jab, and never neglect it. He will throw and miss a lot of them, but he can't abandon it. Because if Kovalev's plan is designed around not using his jab, he may be in for a terribly long night.
Roger Mayweather picks Kovalev to knock Ward out..................I did not expect him to pick Ward, but he did...............
I agree, plus Kovalev is at his best when his hands are moving and his offense is creating his defense. I really think he's going to have trouble pulling the trigger tbh. Ward is consistently throwing or atleast placing his jab hand in the space directly in front of his opponents forehead, using it to 'blind' his opp and gauge distance.....aka play it safe on the outside, while being able to quickly jab n grab his way inside. The biggest 'flaw' and I think one of the 'three things Ward does that are exploitable' to quote JDJ, is when he uses the high guard he's open to uppercuts. That's how he got dropped, those were Froch's best punches, same with Bika....I don't think Kov has a good uppercut, or good enough. WIthout getting too detailed I think Kov has a 30% chance of winning, but he needs to stun ward early and have a good work rate. Ward has a much easier path to victory.
Yeah, Kovalev doesn't seem to mix in too many uppercuts, or at least not in the traditional sense (because he does have a lot of variety with that right hand). I'm very interested to see the difference in speed of foot and hand in the opening moments of this one. I know Ward is definitely quicker with both, but I do think Sergey is deceptively fast with both his feet and his hands, or at least he can be at times. And while I definitely expect to see Ward fight cautiously in round 1, I wonder if he'll make a real exerted effort to try land something significant early, in the same sense Lewis clipped Tyson early in their bout. I really can't wait for this fight! It may ultimately play duller than the lofty expectations many have, but just to see this clash of styles - however it pans out - has me extremely fired-up! And I'm not often fired-up when it comes to PPV events.
Thanks man! And thanks for the tip, I was having trouble getting around that. I'm limited to moviemaker, haha.
Interesting point, I always wondered what the "3 things" were. The only other hint I got is when JDJ said Ward's inside game is not where it needs to be. The uppercuts might be a part of that, although Ward's head positioning is very good. An uppercut is indeed what got him dropped. But as you say, Kovalev doesn't seem too keen on throwing a lot of uppercuts.
Why are so many using OLD fights at 168 as a basis to make predictions/assumptions about how he deals with a 175lb fighter whose hardly broken sweat maintaining his 0 ?
summary.....Kov knocks Ward down early.....Ward gets up.....REPEAT......UNTIL KO OF WARD.....somewhere around the 7th round.
You probably didn't expect Lincoln to sign the emancipation proclamation....but he did and apparently a good majority of Americans still think that was a bad idea.
Because Ward hasn't fought at 168 since what 2014? He slowly moved up in size, the right way, so his old skillset is still applicable.