Taylor was a good fighter but not really elite level. Trinidad, even at 160, was elite. The version of Hopkins that Taylor scraped past no longer had the workrate to exploit Taylor's mistakes. Trinidad did and would, so I think he'd win by stoppage in a fun fight.
Taylor is winning the fight but gets stopped late. If Taylor had better conditioning and a better chin he would have been elite
Elite based on what, though? Granted, losing to B-Hop and Winky don't hurt you legacy wise. No shame in either of those, particularly with both in their own ways being defensive masters (cagey movement for one and the famous high guard for the other) and that being poisonous to a boxer-puncher such as Tito was, emphasis on the latter part. But we're left thin on quality in the victory column. You've got Joppy, Cherifi and Mayorga. Well and good, none of them bums - just, not really the stuff of "elite" foundations. So, with a hard cap the sum quality of his opponents, you need to rely heavily on his form versus all of them. All three were fine performances, and Joppy in particular made him look superhuman, but is that enough to go by to speculatively admit him into the middleweight elite? I'm not sure.
Totally fair. He certainly doesn't have the resume at 160 to support elite status. In some respects, it's the fact that he moved up weight without changing his style and still showed power. I'm not arguing he'd have been an ATG at 160, mind you, only that he'd rank among the top 3 or so MWs in many eras and I'd call that elite. For me, Taylor was a top 5 or 6 MW in most eras who happened to catch Hopkins at the right time. Credit for that, and he did fight somehow evenly with Wright, but he also got exposed as crude by Ouma and Spinks and then got out-punched by Pavlik.
Judging the chin of Taylor is a weird exercise IMO. Like yes we have all that enduring imagery of him getting wrecked thrice over, but always deep into wars against heavy-hitting guys and just one instance took place at middleweight. Tito definitely carried the bulk of his welter power up with him, but was it on par with a Pavlik's? That's a hard call. Abraham, Pavlik and Froch might all be lesser punchers in a p4p sense than welterweight Tito (in fact, I'd say that was so with confidence) but they're naturally much bigger. I'd say all three were in truth natural 168lbers (although in the case of Abraham, that's strictly referring to his frame and power base; he mostly looked pedestrian upon moving up...) Preponderance of evidence does tell us that when he got tired Jermain's resistance certainly took a nose-dive, so if Tito could bait him into a brawl and gradually sap his stamina I'm totally onboard with the idea of the Puerto Rican maybe getting his late stoppage.
I agree with all of this. It wouldn't surprise me if it went to the cards, by any means, but I think Trinidad would have an easier time landing his best shots than Taylor would and might catch him fading. The Ouma and Spinks fights took a lot of shine off Taylor, in my view. He would fight to the level of the competition and had a tendency to lose focus. Just not a very satisfying reign: 1) Hopkins controversial narrow decision win for title 2) Hopkins controversial narrow decision win in rematch 3) Wright controversial draw 4) Ouma poor performance UD 5) Spinks horrible performance UD 6) Pavlik KO defeat He had no emphatic victories against a decent opponent after Daniel Edouard, which was prior to Hopkins. He did win an easy decision against the corpse of Jeff Lacy, but I don't count that. I liked Taylor and feel bad for him now, but I would stay even the relatively unproven Trinidad at 160 is a better fighter.
I still can't believe we never got Taylor vs. Miranda, which seemed like destiny written in the stars for a time (and quite apparently in the HBO execs' opinion) - neither when their names were first conjoined while both in the middleweight championship scene, nor a few years later when JT was in the Super-Six and Pantera was also campaigning at SMW. I feel like if they'd fought there would have been a zero-sum effect; if the boxer (Taylor) won, then his own stock and historical standing would go up with a sense of having legitimized himself after the sketchy Hopkins decisions by withstanding a knockout artist, while the Colombian's stock would plummet. OTOH, if Miranda sparked him then it automatically becomes his #1 achievement with a bullet (flying clear past Allan Green) and depreciates perception of JT even more than his other kayo losses have. And either outcome likely could've happened.
Oh and to nip this branch of thought in the bud preemptively - RJJ vs. Tito is by no means instructive here, lest anyone bring it up. True, it hadn't even yet been three full years since the loss to Wright, but absolutely nobody was optimistic about Tito's chances heading in and prevailing opinion was that RJJ was past his absolute best and coming off a recent bumpy skid, but in no way shot himself. That was a pure cash grab in which Tito took on a fellow (and generally much higher ranked) ATG while faced with every possible disadvantage: smaller, rustier, slower, further gone from his peak ability... I'm frankly shocked to see the array of judges' official scores being even as close as 117-109 and 116-109 x2. I recall it being every bit the one-sided humiliation boricua fans had feared it might be. We can therefore charitably omit anything pertaining to his performance in that one from the analysis here. Along with Taylor's latter-career second run at MW, after his ill-advised return* from his initial retirement due to neurological issues. *ill-advised per most observers, although it did net him another championship in the books.