at first i thought this was an easy fight for PAC.. but when i heard/saw that Ariza will be working with Rios.. now it's like 70% chance of Pac winning this one.. let's see what ariza can really do
Puncher??? A big misperception based on his fight with Hatton. What he is -- a swarmer with a weak chin. Definitely not a big puncher.
I think it will be a great fight! I see lots of early exchanges, but Rios being too crude and inaccurate to really land anything telling on Manny. In the mid to late rounds Pacquiao will start turning up the heat and lacing Brandon with vicious in-and-out combinations that Rios will be too flat-footed and lacking-of-head-movement to avoid. This will be stopped not due to Rios' inability to absorb more punishment (he will happily eat shots all night, much to his detriment later in life) but because the Ref will be sympathetic to watching Rios eat far too much leather by round 10.
If pacman looks the same as he did against JMM in his last fight, than I don't think RIos will last more than 4 or 5 rounds tbh. Up until getting knocked out, that was probably one of Pacman's best performances in recent memory. His handspeed and footspeed looked as good as it did in 2007-2009. But the million dollar question in this fight is how much of a physical and psychological effect did the KO have on him. It's been historically proven time and time again when guys in their mid-30's get knocked out cold like that, they're usually a shell of their former selves and become trigger-shy. It's happened to the greatest fighters in the past, and I wouldn't be shocked if that's the case with Manny now.
If Pac is atleast 80% of his old self he should win this fight by TKO as Rios is tailormade for him. If he's done he could get stopped.