I'd take Vargas too personally. He had the quickness to find Martinez, and would force the type of pace Serg would be uncomfortable with. I see Martinez having success early and giving Nando trouble with his speed, then Vargas comes on mid rounds and begins to take over. Martinez tries to rally late, only unlike Pav, Vargas doesnt fall apart late. Its possible Vargas stops him late. Either that or Nando by UD.