Puncher's chance for Pavlik, but far more often I think Nunn beats him by very wide decision, making him look silly and slow plenty of times along the way. I don't rule out Nunn stopping him late either, be it a corner retirement or a long unanswered flurry, as Pavlik tended to lose heart and mentally check out of fights when they were drifting away from him.
I like Nunn's athleticism and way superior skill here. Pavlik was at his best when he was fighting other bangers or flatfooted guys that came at him. Nunn would use his movement and angles. He wouldn't let Pavlik set his feet.