Excellent Discussion fellas, I lift my glass of Cherry Coke to you. I kind of made this whole discussion because I personally just hate excuses, it taints the minds of those who dig deeper in the tale of the tape. Micheal is undoubtedly top 3 material at light heavyweight but those types of excuses make you wonder, keeps these interesting I suppose? I personally don't really take excuses all into account that much. This is mostly based on the Dempsey-Tunney Series and Lyle vs Shavers. Dempsey claimed that the reason he lost in his first fight with Tunney is because of food poisoning with olive oil, yet the rematch looked like a Carbon repeat of the first. In Lyle vs Shavers, Ernie claimed that the reason why Lyle beat the count was because a fan held up Lyle on the Ropes, yet in the official footage we have, no such thing happened. Shaver actually went as far and reporting these claims to the Colorado Commission. So safe to say, excuse perhaps as I mentioned, are simply excuses.
I think 90% or so, to throw out a real guess of a figure, might be meaningful. Of course this doesn't mean said fighter would have won the fight anyway.
201 vs Snipes tells me he just showed up at his walk around weight. Thats not an uncommon weight for a Light Heavyweight to walk around at. 8 weeks to go from your walk around weight to Light Heavyweight will be ample, considering he will then cut water weight to make weight, not lose 3 pounds a week which you incorrectly implied he'd have to do.
This is same day weigh in era. At any rate 3 pounds a week is (less than) what he had to actually lose whether it's water or what. On top of this he was plainly fat in there and if that was his walk around weight he'd be running a lot more body fat than most boxers in that stage. Perhaps he thought he had to add weight to compete with the big boys like almost everyone does. To show up at ones walk around weight at the end of a training camp tells us that substantial extra calories would have had to be consumed and who knows when he started training in earnest. I'd be shocked if he started directly after losing in his tilt at the Heavyweights.
I would argue that Eddie probably walked around at 201 and went down to Light Heavy often and that wasn't really something new to him. That isn't an unusual walk around weight for a Light Heavyweight. That would also explain why he looked so listless against Snipes I.E. he just showed up at his walk around weight, not at his fighting weight. He was also one of those Larry Holmes type guys that just always looked pudgy at any weight he was. To cut anywhere from 6-10 pounds water weight the same day to make weight, he would have just needed to lose 2.5-2 pounds a week over 8 weeks. Thats doable. Experts consider losing 2 pounds a week very safe to do for regular people, let alone a world class boxer.