My analysis of PBF-Cotto

I disagree. Cotto is shorter than Mayweather and fights low anyway. Mayweather isn't going to easily counter over the top with his right like he did with Mosley and De la Hoya. I think Cotto is going to use his jab, stay low, and move away from Floyd's right hand. I believe he will have success, but I see a 7-5 clear decision for Floyd.

 

Same here! Lmao! I was in bushwick Brooklyn at a BBQ the day of the Hopkins vs Tito fight and I swear you could taste the tension in the back yard amongst childhood friends. We saw a pretty bad rumble take place across the street bottles fly gun shots (pointing to the air to stop the brawls) someone called the cops and the operator literally said hold to take another call lmao!

 

Floyd had no problem countering over JMM's jab and JMM is smaller then Cotto.

 

will read when I go home

 

True but also take into account the fact that jmm tends to fight in straight lines and though hes an excellent technician he lacks the ability to fight of the backfoot he's a successful counter puncher in the pocket but when seriously pressured and backed up he becomes vulnerable. He needs more foundation when executing his counters so in situations like when he fought Diaz and kastidis they found success with aggression early in but the aggression became reckless when jmm hit his back on the ropes it gave him more foundation and a solid place to counter effectively...

 

That's nuts. Never seen something that bad.

 

"Outboxing" is an extremely broad term. There's a spectrum of styles and strategies that don't fall into neat categories of "boxing" or "brawling." What punches? What combinations? What stances? What posture? What counters? What feints? What changes in rhythm? What shifts in direction? That's analysis.

 

That was a pretty random event, for the most part if you keep your nose clean your good to go. That was then this is now....young boys these days rather put on some skinny jeans and break dance for a females affection so I doubt the same will happen on Saturday...unless of course your in sin city (strip joint)

 

I feel like he was leading and countering with his left hook much more in the JMM fight. I mean he definitely landed his pull counter a few times, but it was not his main weapon in that fight. Just because he landed it a few times doesn't mean he could do it whenever he wanted.

 

Good post.

The most likely outcome, in my estimation, is Floyd prevailing by UD.

I, however, do see a scenario where Floyd starts the fight with a hasty demeanor and gets caught with something big (in all likeliness a left hook) while attempting to walk Cotto down - which could spell disaster for him.

Either way, I think Floyd's beard will get tested - and how he reacts to Cotto's power will surely give us all much to discuss in the days and weeks ahead.

 

Cotto's planning to throw lots of flurries IMO, using DLH's tactics v Floyd.
But what fighters plan v Floyd, and can execute are two different things.
Mayweather has every advantage over Cotto, and I include power.
He's quicker of hand and foot, he's fresher, hes fitter, his technically on a different planet from Cotto.
Cotto's getting battered.

 

I think Cotto takes 2-3 of the earlier rounds til; Floyd figures him out and times him, then it's beatdown time and Cotto gets frustrated and quits mentally leading to him getting on his bike and not even trying to win for the rest of the fight or leading to a tko for floyd

 

Also, Mosley was continually countered over the top with the right because he kept trying to land that same jab to the body and overhand right he landed in round 2. He also holds his left hand lower than Cotto and brought his hand back to the position after jabbing allowing Mayweather to counter over the top. I just don't see Mayweather landing that punch all night against Cotto.

 

Cotto's power is massively over-rated in my opinion.
Mosely hit Mayweather with 2 home runs, and Mayweather instantly and instinctively knew what to do, regrouped and won the rest of the round, and never lost another second of the fight.
Cotto's got NOTHING powerwise on Mosely.
Also look at how Cotto could make no dent at all in Mosely, wheras Floyd hurt him at will. Floyd could have stopped him.
I think Floyds the bigger puncher, and it depends on how Cotto reacts, to determine if this is a one sided beating lasting the distance, or whether Cotto gets retired on his stool.