I actually think Cloud takes it because Cleverly for all his height and Reach can't fight well on the outside, he always ends up fighting toe to toe and that would benefit Cloud.
I mentioned this in IB's RBR thread. Cloud takes it, but Cleverly has his moments and wins his fair share of rounds. Cleverly can box nicely in spells behind a solid jab but he lacks the discipline to do this for all 12 rounds. I think Cloud catches up with him in around about the 10th, and takes him out.
Cleverly would still get ****ed up. I don't think his movement is great so I don't see how he out works or out punches cloud. JP vs Cloud would be a great fight. I'd have no idea who wins that one.
The Tony Bellew fight showed us that while Cleverly is entertaining and a belt holder; he is not world class.
I'd favour Cloud to stop Cleverly late or a MD win on the scorecards (depending on were you are in the world)
Cleverly gets knocked the **** out...or wins a wide decision. Equal chance of either outcome. :yep It's that kind of match-up.