Now that Pavlik vs Williams is official

Who wins?

 

please state why you think Williams will win

 

Williams is too fast and too skilled ... I think Pavlik will do his normal thing, throw alot of punches, come forward, and expect to land that right hand.

I expect Williams to give him angles, match him in punch output, and outwork him down the stretch.

Pavlik will throw to the body, but I don't think they're going to be in close quarters that often (I may be wrong) but with that being said ... Williams controls the tempo of the fight ... Pavlik can't fight going backwards and he can't defend more than 2-3 punches at a time ... Williams will be in, throw 10 in a sequence, and then dip out to the side ...

I also think that since there's a big difference in speed, that Williams will commit more to his power punches.

I expect a late rounds stoppage ... the key to beating Kelly Pavlik is to take away the jab ... Hopkins did it and he was ineffective for the whole fight ... his right hand is very strong but he can't get it off without the jab.

His movement isn't good enough to throw lead left hooks or right hands ... he needs to set everything up with the jab.

 

Great post ... I thought about this as well ... I sorta mentioned it in a previous post ... it'll be interesting to see because Williams did get drug into a close quarters fight against Margarito, but he had already won a majority of the rounds and at that time Margarito needed atleast a knockdown.

In addition to that ... I have yet to see Williams lose steam ... he seems to fight the same pace from the opening bell to the closing bell.

 

Jermain Taylor went the full 12 with him ... what are you talking about?

 

Williams has atleast a 3" reach advantage if not more on Pavlik ... and he's a bit faster than most give him credit for ... He's a ton faster than Pavlik ...

Its a matter of boxing and athleticism ... Pavlik is good and he works hard but I don't think he has natural atheleticism like other fighters and he doesn't have much of a rhythm to his fight game ... he's really just lanky ... come forward ... and very stiff.

Defensively Pavlik isn't taking away any weapons ... and he's getting hit alot more than he should ... he can get discouraged if he can't hurt you ... and he doesn't know how to box well against a boxer ... thats why he's only fought 2 ... he was lucky to knock taylor out in the first fight but was truly exposed during the second fight ... and we all know what happened against BHop.

For Pavlik to be successful ... he would have to fight in close quarters and he would have to fight a guy who's going to either come straight forward or not use angles.