I can feel with you mate. Horrible weekend. I favored two big dogs with Pejsar (was about +2800) and Ramos and for no reason at all i took absolutely ZERO bets on those two. Disgusting. At least i was able to hedge my Askhat bet with Lopez 3.25 prefight and also didn't lose on Metcalfe as i took Phelan KO live at +333. And some profit with Avanesyan too live. In the end +12.53u for the weekend: https://ibb.co/vQQRWGs Isn't bad at all but feels like **** though.
Nice save with Avanesyan lol. I often shy away from the big underdogs and end up only putting really small stakes "just in case". Sometimes it feels like small winning bets are more regretful than lost bets. I should also keep an Excel log but I feel like all the unplanned live bets which I tend to do quite impulsively ruin the purpose lmao.
Any chance Loma wins a decision in a couple weeks? He’s a 5/1 dog to win that methods. Also, over under is 9.5.
Mariusz Wach (-145) vs Martin Bakole Ilunga $362.50 for $250.00 Mariusz Wach (-155) vs Martin Bakole Ilunga $387.50 for $250.00
Looks like some value although i highly doubt that Crolla will last 12 full rounds with Loma. Crolla fought a couple of solid punching guys like Linares, Barroso, Yordan or Perez but you can't compare them to Loma because Loma much faster and accumulation of his shots + the angles shots coming in are sick and not comparable to that guys i mentioned. Not quite sure if it really has a realistic chance to hit. I wouldn't take it but obviously this is probably the best bet on the fight if you want to take something. Crolla isn't bad defensively. I don't think it's over quickly (1-3), Crolla might last some rounds and you're able to hedge it inplay in the later rounds. Anyway...ppl will bet Loma KO like hell so maybe it's better to wait till fight night as i doubt odds will drop on Loma decision.
Mario Heredia has great odds against Sam Peter next week. Peters has been shot for years lmao. Weirdly enough he has yet to lose to this level of opposition but I think he might very well lose here.
anyone with that level of shotness can easily be ko'd by anyone with a decent punch. well worth a stake on it.
Heredia really isn't that bad either. 26 years old and fairly active. KO losses to Fedosov, George Arias and Jonathan Rice. None of those concern me that much. Also according to wikipedia he has "an amateur record of 47-5 and was a two-time Mexican National Olympics Gold Medalist". I was very surprised he has a wiki page lol.