Both guys will be facing a guy they have never faced the likes of before. Cotto has never faced someone so fast and punches so unorthodox, and Manny has never fought anyone as big and strong as Cotto. This should be a very, very interesting fight. One thing I have noticed however, is how big of a favorite Manny Pacquiao seems to be in the eyes of many. I saw one webpage in which twenty six guys - a collection of trainers, journalists and fighters gave their opinion on who they thought would win, and all twenty-six picked Pacquiao! This wasn't a collection of people off the street either. This list had some respectable names. Fighters like Antonio Margarito, Floyd Mayweather Jr, Bernard Hopkins, and Mike Tyson all picked Pacquiao. Trainers like Nacho Beristain, Angelo Dundee, and Naazim Richardson all picked Pacquiao. Journalists like Doug Fisher, Teddy Atlas. and Ron Borges all picked Pacquiao. Twenty-six guys were on the list and every single on of them picked Pacquiao! Are you kidding me? Twenty-six out of twenty six? You'd think they were predicting who would win if Hatton was allowed to re-start the fight after being stretched out on the canvas for five minutes. Don't get me wrong. I do see how people would favor Pacquiao, but a clean sweep for Pac when you ask twenty six guys who know boxing? While Miguel Cotto, may not end up being Manny's toughest fight - I mean, he has amazed us before - Cotto is certainly the toughest guy Pac has ever faced going into the ring. He has never fought someone so big, someone who hits as hard, and can take his punches as Cotto should be able tough. Cotto is a tough dude. He has proved that many times. Even if he comes in weight drained, I can guarantee you he won't wilt like De La Hoya did. He also won't be as easy to hit as Hatton was. If Pacquiao gets hit by Cotto as often he he did by Marquez, I don't see him lasting long, and despite the improvements he has made in his game, I don't think he is terribly hard to hit. De La Hoya just wasn't throwing punches, and Hatton did pop Pac a few times. I think his only hope to win is to use his hand and foot speed to the best of his abilty. He needs to dart in and out all night, and not allow Cotto to cut off the ring. If Pac wins by KO, it will probably be because he busted Cotto's face up, not because he landed a single hard shot like he did against Hatton. I'm saying all this being a huge fan of Pacquiao's. There is currently no fighter in the sport I like more, but I still call a spade a spade. Cotto is naturally bigger and stronger than Pac, not to mention he actually has some noteworthy boxing talent, and that is the main reason it blows my mind that so many people favor the Filipino. In fact, he shouldn't even be the favorite. In my eyes he is the underdog - almost a HUGE underdog. If Manny does win, I will probably put him in my top five fighters of all time. He has a huge mountain to climb come November, and I hope he pulls it off, but...well, I guess we shall see.
Oddsmakers/betting houses in Las Vegas did install Pacquiao as the early 2 to 1 favorite to defeat Miguel Cotto... .
Odds is not a factor on actual fights. Being favorite only means that more gamblers is picking Pac to win. No big deal.
Despite his size disadvantage, I still favor Pacquiao because of his much more formidable tools. Cotto is a good, solid fighter with no stand-out attributes and a leaky defense. Pacquiao is ever-improving technically, and has some of the most impressive singular capabilities of any fighter alive. I think his overwhelming offense, combined with his more than adequate defense (which is actually more sound than Cotto's IMO) and technical skills will eventually take its toll on Cotto down the stretch. Pacquiao, as I've said over and over, is a physical marvel in how well he's able to adapt and succeed at such a wide variety of weight classes. Not neccessarily a fighter I'd favor over the best at any particular weight, but one capable of beating a lot of top fighters regardless of size. Truly a pound for pound warrior, though not neccessarily the best boxer in the truest sense of the word. In that I mean he's more capable of performing admirably at different weights than a lot of his foes or past contempararies, but I wouldn't neccessarily favor him over them at their best. Regardless of weight, he still has flaws that are capable of being exposed by the best technicians, provided they're not being fought to their disadvantage. I do believe he'd be capable of testing the very best moreso than I used to to believe, though. His ability to continuously improve is what puts him in the highest stead for me in an all time sense. A truly great fighter (better than I ever thought him capable of being, admitedly), and I think he'll prove it conclusively against Cotto.
I agree that Manny shouldn't be a fav....Many shouldn't have been the fav vs Ricky either....or DLH. The last fight he should have been a Fav in was Diaz in PAC's first and only fight at 135.
I think Pacquiao is also favored in this board... Haven't checked the latest poll results and it's also too early, the fight is still more than 2 months to go... There could be more swing votes... .
Paq is faster better stamina and has been KNOCKING MOTHER ****ERS OUT:dead... Cotto- was smoked by Margo, barley barley beat clotty, many people though Clotty won:deal, and Cotto also barley got by Mosley... Cotto is easy to hit, tires late and is vastly over-rated, Paq is gonna stop him..
Pacquiao should be favored ... he's the more accomplished fighter, he's the current p4p king, and he's on an incredible win streak. His last (official) L came 4 yrs ago ... he has won 10 straight since the loss to Erik Morales, he has moved up 3 weight classes ... he also has won 3 championships and 2 linear "ships" in the process. Many people question Morales' win over Pac man ... so if thats the case then his last loss would've came 10 yrs ago. I would favor him over many fighters (except Money May)
I'm rooting for MP to win this match. As far as who the betting favorite is concerned, I don't put too much importance in it (unless I'm betting money on it.) ODLH was a huge favorite over Pac and Tyson was an even bigger favorite over Douglas and look what happened.
Robinson wasn't favored against maxium. The size advantage is vast in this fight as it was in the last few fights for Manny, but Cotto is prime and at his overall best as a boxer. Ricky was too but stylistically I knew it was a bad match up for Rick. DLH was a great fighter but he definitely was not in his prime. But I don't think he was shot or weight drained. I think its just hard for folks to give Manny credit for how one sided it was. I can't really blame them b/c I gave PAC NO chance at all to beat DLH.
The size advantage isn't that big of a deal ... first of all Cotto is going to have to cut some muscle in the process ... and hell I wouldn't be surprised if Pacquiao came in weighing just as much as Cotto or more than Cotto. I think the fact that Pac walks around smaller he won't be held back by cutting muscle ... and he can rehydrate better than Cotto. Cotto has the power advantage, but i'm not sure about that either because I haven't truely seen Pac hit a "live" welterweight.
Cotto has had defensive issues for quite some time, which is why I have in the past picked Mayweather to pick him apart. For the same reason, Pacquiao will get bombs through and likely stop Cotto. I am a Cotto fan, but I feel Pacquiao holds the stylistic advantages. Pacquiao's only disadvantage is size.
cotto can beat paquiao indeed skilwise he has the tools but the problem lyes on his head before the figth whit margo i would have picked cotto by brutal ko now its difrent