50-52 in Cotto's favour right now. Ring TV's H2H assessment of the fight concludes with Pac by close UD:
I don't like that analysis, I don't think Pac will try to take the centre of the ring, don't think he'll attack from 'mid-range', can't see much clinching I can see Cotto holding a high guard and countering, fighting a very disciplined fight, though he'll be willing to exchange when Pac engages him This might be more of a tactical fight than many expect, with fits and starts of explosive action
There's no sense in Pac standing his ground unless Cotto has stung him and Manny wants to regain some respect, so I agree. But if you read the whole article, the strengths analysis is pretty much spot on. I think it'll be Manny with the serious cuts in this fight, and probably bad swelling to the right side of his face. That Cotto left hook will land. Manny will circle to the left, block Cotto's range-finding right hand lead, possibly go for a left uppercut and then left hand will swoop on in. Body or head, it doesn't matter - he's going to get busted up.
British fighters/trainer/journos make their pick: http://www.boxingnewsonline.net/BN08/detail.asp?id=1336 Cotto Michael Jennings David Price Dominic Ingle Junior Witter Ryan Rhodes Danny Flexen (from BN) Nick Bond (from BN) Darren Barker Pac George Groves Adam Smith Joe Gallagher Liam Walsh Jim McDonnell
I hope all the people that are picking Cotto put their money where their mouth is because he is at great odds.
Already put a small bet on Cotto but I vote for a Pacquiao decision here because he's proved me wrong too many times lately that he's making me look like a jackass.
I'm not trying to give reasons for how Cotto could win, there are reasons for that and you have mentioned some of them. slip&counter has done a solid job of presenting both cases. He could catch Manny and Manny could be ****ed...how do we know? He could time Pacquiao and counter better than I imagine. That is just my definitive pick and reasoning.
If I'm wrong print that page off and frame it. Its not happened often on the big fights of late. Even when I'm wrong I'm right, I picked that oaf Froch...but I did express doubts.
I think that Pac Man wins this on handspeed with a late stoppage in Rounds 8 or 9...:yep I just don't think that Cotto will have shifted the shellacking he took off Margarito out of his system so soon to be going in with an elite fighter such as Pac Man...:bbb I think that Cotto hits hard and that could be his undoing after 5 Rounds if he has not had it his own way...:yep Will Cotto suffer the same fate as Hatton been a victim of his own aggression...I think he will, but it won't be as early as Hatton...:think
When I've picked on big fights, I'm usually right too. I picked Froch, though i thought Dirrell won too. I'm pretty sure I've generally agreed with you in the past too... but I just can't see Manny winning this, no matter how much I like the guy. I just think his opposition has flattered him with their level of incompetency in his last three fights. Not too long till we find out though.
Pacquiao late stoppage. It wont be a'la Hatton as Cotto doesn't jump into his punches the way Ricky does, he prefers to stalk his opponent. More an accumulation of crisp clean hitting shots.
You clearly watched the Tyson interview on sky news last week, cause that the only other time iver ever heard anyone under 60 use this phrase.