Styles make fights. He's faster than Cotto, he's a southpaw, and he's probably a lot stronger at the weight than people think. He'll pot shot Cotto all day with left hands, and hurt him by the 6th or 7th round and get him out by the 9th.
Two notable Pacquiao fights resulting in KO 2009-05-02 Ricky Hatton 140lbs W KO2 2008-12-06 Oscar De La Hoya 145lbs W TKO8 Cotto unimpressive win 2009-06-13 Joshua Clottey 147lbs W SD12 Pacquiao hand speed and movement as well as power has been underestimated. It is a matter if Pacquiao chin can take the powerful counter punching of Cotto. I feel it will be a domination one way or another, someone will be knocked down.
Yeah i agree "SOMEBODY" is getting stopped BAD in this fight Its Definatley not going the distance :deal i think manny controls the early rounds with speed, angles ,footwork and fast combo's i can see cotto getting cut early with slashing hooks from pac. If manny doesn't get it done early tho he's in deep trouble manny slacks off in middle rounds and miguel will grind him down like marquez did and manny didn't like JMM's power ???? cotto is even stronger!!!! It all comes down to "IF" Manny can Take Miguels shots :deal If he can i say he wins pretty easy ....ish lol I think cotto will be able to take pacs shots he has been hurt before and come back to win if manny beats him i think it will be by a BAD CUT or a Tko If cotto wins i think it will be by KO or a close UD
To think that you have to totaly dismiss Cotto as a fighter and not look at past fights against = quick fighters. Judah and Mosley both landed good shots but the key is Cotto made the right adjustments. I venture to say that both mosley and judah crack just as hard if not harder than Pac at this weight. I do agree Pac will have to pot shot his way to victory because I doubt if he will stop and plant his feet long enough to land the kind of shot he did on hatton.
Hatton was dazed from previous shots. Cotto has to be careful with his wild hooks, he might get caught with a sharper/quicker hook from pacquiao. Cotto is also known to be sluggish in later rounds, where paquiao can take advantage due to his never ending energy.
Here's my prediction and reason why I think Pac will stop Cotto in the late rounds. First remember this is the new version of Pac, not the young, one dimensional, double right jab-straight left, come forward slugger. That old predictable version of Pac would have eaten hard stiff jabs by Cotto all night long. The new Pac WILL respect the power of Cotto as he has with the higher weight division opponents. Use the De La Hoya fight for reference. Pac will get quick shots in and move out to avoid any possible Cotto power shot, especially to the body. Pac WILL land those punches. Diaz couldn't see Pac's punches. De La Hoya couldn't see them. Hatton couldn't see them. Cotto will not see them. Hell, I barely saw Pac's punches watching live on a high def big screen. In the mid rounds you'll see Cotto begin to gas. Everyone knows this, even Cotto. That body type of his isn't really built for stamina. That's when Pac will start going in for the kill, seeing Cotto weaken from the accumulated punches. As far as Pac's defense: foot speed, quick reflexes, for reference watch Hatton fight. BTW Hatton has way more speed than Cotto and Hatton looked like he was in slow motion against Pac. The only advantages I see for Cotto is that he's going to outweigh Pacquiao by 8-12 lbs on fight night. He's got better fundamental boxing skills also, but can he hit a fast moving target consistently? Only way I see Cotto winning is if he catches Pac with a flush power shot to the body in the early rounds. Not gonna happen. Last time I saw Pac take a punch like that was 10 years ago in his 2nd loss. As other forumers here have said, it seems Cotto's best days are behind him as you can see in his latest fights. He's also got distractions like the falling out with his uncle trainer. All that combined with the thought that Pac still hasn't reached his full potential (peak) makes Cotto the underdog as early fight odds are showing. Well, that's my prediction, Pac KO in 10. We'll see what happens in Nov.
It will be a very good fight. Cotto may be coming in around 157+lbs come fight night. If that happens, he will be too slow for pac and will be a sitting duck for Pacquiao. I see Pacquiao using the same plan they did to ODLH and since Cotto will be too heavy, he will start to slow down in the later rounds and will eventually get KO'd. I see Cotto switching from orthodox to south paw from time to time to kind of throw off pacquiao but it would be a big mistake since Pacquiao tends to be more aggressive if his opponent is a south paw. Diaz didn't have a slight chance against Pacquiao. Also, I see Cotto trying to pin Pac in the ropes but Pacquiao is too slick for that. Also see Cotto going to the body, most likely there will be a low blow somewhere but if that occurs, it will be somewhat intentional since Pacquiao is shorter. Hope it doesn't happen since I know both fighters are very respectful. It will either be a UD for Pac or a late stopage for Pac.