If puffy labia pussyfisted Dawson's slaps affect Pascal then Cloud would give Pascal hell. Now the x-factor is if Pascal can outbox Cloud. He did with Dawson but Dawson doesn't like to fight. Cloud will put on the pressure. If Pascal can take advantage of Cloud's willingness to exchange real good then this is the only way I see him winning. Either way Ward and Bute are the best lws out there even though they are super mws. The lw division is weak right now except for Cloud and Pascal. Johnson is a legend but he's over the hill. Dawson is overrated and Ward and Bute would beat the **** out of him.
Pascal has a good brawler style and he was effective with it on Dawson who is a very good boxer puncher. Pascal threw punches in bunches, but not your typical brawler because he came at Dawson from different angles with great foot movement. The only thing is when Dawson who throw his own offense, Pascal would cover up and not fire back, maybe he ran out of gas. Either way, I think he might beat Cloud the first half of the fight, but I think a good ko puncher beats a good brawler. Styles make fights and Cloud has the style to beat Pascal, as Dawson was about to do, but Pascal was successful either way for most of the fight. I do think Dawson has the style to beat Cloud as well, but I think Dawson was about to beat Pascal not so much because of his style, but he is a better fighter. When he wasn't throwing punches in the beginning he was late in the fight, but it was too late. I'd favor Cloud to beat Pascal.
Lots of X-factors in this fight. I think Pascal wins this due to his experience. However, I think it will actually be a more competitive fight than the fight with Dawson. If you're willing to battle with Pascal(which Dawson wasn't), then you can be competitive with him(Froch, Diaconu). Has the makings of a fight of the year type fight though. Hope that fight comes through, I just don't think Cloud is ready at this point.
Pascal has shitty stamina. I think he'll build a lead on the cards, but tire from all his running. Cloud will come on late and stop him.