I still like Pavlik in this match up. The tables turned on Miranda when Abraham started countering over Miranda's jab with the right. It buckled Miranda's knees earlier in the second or third and led to the first knockdown in the fourth. I could see Pavlik falling for it once but not a second time; he's a much smarter fighter than Miranda. Also, Pavlik doesn't fall in with his jab and is much better at keeping his distance. More space means Pavlik is much more likely to see one of AA's wide ass punches coming. Last note, Pavlik knows how to tie an opponent up, Miranda either doesn't or he won't. All that being said, if AA catches Pav with one of those bombs it might be lights out. Abraham's compact D and iron chin means he won't be KO'd, but his lack of activity and inability to land the homerun punch=Pavlik UD12 Abraham.
This would be the fight for Kelly to change up his style. Easy to score points when AA is in his guard. Just stay on the outside and make AA open up and come to him. This could be a very good test to see whether or not Kelly and Jack can come up with a 'novel for them' game plan.
yeah this is a real badass fight, and close to pick 'em. I lean towards Abraham putting Pavlik's lights out.