Even if Kelly gets bronchitis and has another elbow problem during training, Winky doesn't have the power to make Kelly respect him the way BHop did. So, yes. You are mistaken if you think this is anywhere near the same fight.
In all fairness, Bhops can punch some so he kept Pav honest, IMO if Winky isn't too far gone he can beat both Pavlik and PW but at age 37 I wouldn't bet too much money on Winky doing it.
Personally, it would be a huge disappointment if Winky fights Pav before AA gets his chance. If Winky fights him I predict that Pav wins by UD.
Pavlik...just come out and say it....you want an easy big money fight against "Irelands" John Duddy, then cash in on another big pay day in Winky when he'll be 38, and then go after unification with 'King' Arthur
I think Winky would outbox Pavlik, but it would be closer than the Hopkins fight. Although if Winky is a little diminished after the year of inactivity, then Pavlik could get by in this one with a slight decision win.