If you haven't watched the first fight - ****ing do it. It was an INSANE fight. It was one of the most brutal fights i have ever seen. Both fighters were trading in the pocket for 10 rounds. Matias went down in the seventh but wasn't hurt badly but it was still incredible how much damage Ananyan was willing to take in order to hand it back to Matias. We all saw how dangerous Matias is. He's not a one punch KO artist but he has that thudding power where all punches hurt no matter if he lands clean or to the gloves. If we believe what Matias manager said his protégé didn't really train for the first fight and basically went out without a proper training camp. So i expect Matias to be in better shape for the rematch but Ananyan is a stylistic nightmare for him as we saw in the first fight. Very, very curious how this is playing out on the GRJ/MM undercard. FOTY potential for sure. Probably the best fight of the month on paper.
I have zero issue buying into the fact that Matias was unprepared for their first encounter, since it was his first real test after the tragedy with Maxim Dadashev and only 7 months or so later. So it's totally understandable him still not being in the proper headspace. Especially when you consider he beat the living hell out of Ananyan for the first 6 rounds of the fight and was close to stopping him, and Petros only took over after Matias gassed himself out. Still think Matias should have won a close decision, so if he's fully prepared, he should dismantle and stop Ananyan within 7.
Personally i don't think Matias gassed bad. Maybe he wasn't prepared, maybe he was. (Re)watching the fight a couple of days ago i wasn't noticing anything in the first half that makes me think that Matias wasn't prepared. It was the same Matias we saw a couple of times now on bigger shows. It was definitely a fight of two entirely different halves. I think the round where Ananyan forced a standing count on him was turning the tide and Matias probably fought concussed for the rest of the fight and lost every single round. You still have to respect that Ananyan was able to take the punishment for 5 or 6 rounds and serve it back to Matias in the last 4 rounds. While Matias was dishing out some serious damage in the first six rounds, Ananyan was still throwing back a lot so it wasn't an one-sided beating or so. I thought Round 1 was pretty close, Matias swept 2-6 clearly and Ananyan clearly swept 7-10 including a 10-8 in the seventh round. So i have no problem with 95-94 Matias OR 95-94 Ananyan. 96-93 Ananyan was definitely way too wide though. Not quite sure what the guy was watching. I fully agree with your last statement. While i'm not sure if he stops him as Ananyan has a granite chin and still fights back + throws a lot, i think Matias will at least outwork him pretty easily and if he doesn't get hurt again he should take a wide DEC while losing maybe one or two rounds.
I agree that fatigue played a big role in the 2nd half if the fight. One other thing that Matias needs to do is to avoid getting hit with so many overhand rights. That punch in particular seemed to land at will and sometimes consecutively. Hopefully for him, his team worked on defending against that punch which was Ananyan's bread and butter. I'm very much looking forward to this fight.