He should have taken the Lee fight on HBO :verysad. Khurtidze has the WBC middleweight silver title which could give him a better chance of getting this Chavez fight, should he beat him. Chavez could pretend Barker was his mandatory, thus further duck Martinez.
If Geale gets past Adama next week then they should be trying to get him over. To much to factor in to a Chavez fight atm, people say ah yeah Barker is technically more gifted and would beat Chavez soundly. Never works like that. It would be a top rank show, probably infront of thousands of mexicans. Barker would have to be very dominant to win. Geale is the better option if they can get him over.
I can't see him KOing Chavez, he'll make it close and could edge it but Chavez will get the decision like with Zbik. Geale I haven't seen a lot of but I'd be surprised if that one wasn't close too.
He is not a huge puncher and I don't think he would get robbed there. he needs the home advantage to get a win not due to the judges, but other reasons. home comforts, not jet lag etc.