It's what they call common sense. You can't see how a young swarmer with power/speed/chin/timing and very good technical skill can beat an outside fighter with a bad chin / bad stamina, who tends to panic when he gets caught with just about anything?
Povetkin has a great team that works very well and has a strong relationship with him. You will never see him abondon his team for a recognized german one the way someone like the Klitschkos / Dimitrenko / Abraham did. Never in a million years.
he will probably lose to wlad, then win a title later down the road and defend it successfully a few times.
He hasnt even faced one of his top rivals at cruiser weight so far. Yes,he impressively beat a Polish journeyman at heavy weight,but that didnt prove that much. Povetkin has a proven track record at the amateurs(olympic gold) as well as at the pros(Donald). The same cant be said about Haye! By the way Povetkin doesnt have a loss against Carl Thompson in his fight record.
It's probably too early to say, but at this point I'd go with #3. To be #1 you have to beat #1, right? ...and I don't think he can beat Wlad Klitschko. From what I have seen of him, he appears to have good quickness and power in both hands, but he lacks an effective jab and range. He could certainly hold his own against the other current belt holders, and maybe even win, but against Wlad, I believe he is beaten decisively. For that matter, I don't think he beats Byrd. Byrd is excellent defensively and will be able to stay away from Pov's power and out-box him. Give him time, though. This really isn't important, but it's worth noting that Povetkin is kind of doughy looking and looks like he cuts his own hair. Personally, I like my champion athletes to be, well, more athletic looking. That's just me though.
Once he puts Wladimir away the skys the limit really. After that he can cement his own legacy. Although I don't think he'll age that well. I think we'll seem him drop physically in about 3 years time.